IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/arx/papers/2609.27404.html

When Trust Attracts Fraud: AI and Trust Arbitrage

Author

Listed:
  • Xieyu Yin
  • Fenghua Wen

Abstract

Trust can attract fraud when it delays verification. We develop a two-market signaling model in which generative AI lowers fabrication, verification, and targeting costs. When fabrication becomes profitable before verification, claim credibility first falls and later recovers. Across markets, higher prior quality can delay verification, creating an interval in which only the lower-quality market checks. If targeting becomes profitable in this interval, deceptive sellers enter the higher-quality but less vigilant market, and their entry can initially reverse its reliability advantage. The inflow also triggers verification and deters further entry. We call this self-limiting mechanism trust arbitrage. In the age of generative AI, trust can thus create an endogenous but temporary protection gap that redirects deception across markets.

Suggested Citation

  • Xieyu Yin & Fenghua Wen, 2026. "When Trust Attracts Fraud: AI and Trust Arbitrage," Papers 2609.27404, arXiv.org.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2609.27404
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2609.27404
    File Function: Latest version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Kevin A. Bryan & Joshua S. Gans, 2026. "Training AI For When Humans Will Use It," Papers 2608.12538, arXiv.org.
    2. Elena Quercioli & Lones Smith, 2015. "The Economics of Counterfeiting," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 83(3), pages 1211-1236, May.
    3. Konstantinos Ioannidis & Theo Offerman & Randolph Sloof, 2022. "Lie Detection: A Strategic Analysis of the Verifiability Approach," American Law and Economics Review, American Law and Economics Association, vol. 24(2), pages 659-705.
    4. Christian Catalini & Xiang Hui & Jane Wu, 2026. "Some Simple Economics of AGI," Papers 2602.20946, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2026.
    5. Anais Galdin & Jesse Silbert, 2025. "Making Talk Cheap: Generative AI and Labor Market Signaling," Papers 2511.08785, arXiv.org.
    6. Vikram Maheshri & Giovanni Mastrobuoni, 2021. "The Race Between Deterrence and Displacement: Theory and Evidence from Bank Robberies," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 103(3), pages 547-562, July.
    7. Gans, Joshua S., 2024. "How will Generative AI impact communication?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 242(C).
    8. Kevin A. Bryan & Joshua S. Gans, 2026. "Training AI for When Humans Will Use It," NBER Working Papers 35490, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    9. Sadakane, Hitoshi & Tam, Yin Chi, 2026. "Cheap talk and lie detection," Games and Economic Behavior, Elsevier, vol. 158(C), pages 787-814.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Ladera, Ivan, 2026. "Las señales no desaparecen, evolucionan: erosión informativa y señalización adaptativa bajo shocks exógenos de costo [Signals Don't Disappear, They Evolve: Informational Erosion and Adaptive Signaling under Exogenous Cost Shocks]," MPRA Paper 130011, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Song Yao, 2026. "Stranded Credentials: Keeping Online Reputation Systems Informative in the AI Era," Papers 2608.17111, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2026.
    3. Hull, Isaiah & Sattath, Or, 2021. "Revisiting the Properties of Money," Working Paper Series 406, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden).
    4. Charles M Kahn & Francisco Rivadeneyra & Tsz-Nga Wong, . "Should the central bank issue e-money?," Journal of Financial Market Infrastructures, Journal of Financial Market Infrastructures.
    5. Gonzalo Cisternas & Jorge Vásquez, 2022. "Misinformation in Social Media: The Role of Verification Incentives," Staff Reports 1028, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    6. Pereira, Leila & Pucci, Rafael & Soares, Rodrigo R., 2024. "Landing on Water: Air Interdiction, Drug-Trafficking Displacement, and Violence in the Brazilian Amazon," IZA Discussion Papers 17425, IZA Network @ LISER.
    7. Isaiah Hull & Or Sattath, 2024. "The properties of contemporary money," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 38(4), pages 1132-1155, September.
    8. Lebesmuehlbacher, Thomas & Roush, Justin & Smith, Rhet A., 2026. "The heterogeneous effects of cannabis dispensaries on crime: The importance of foot traffic," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 119(C).
    9. Alessandro Ispano & Péter Vida, 2020. "Custodial Interrogations," THEMA Working Papers 2020-05, THEMA (THéorie Economique, Modélisation et Applications), Université de Cergy-Pontoise.
    10. Victoria Biagi & Alexander Cardazzi & Zachary Porreca, 2025. "Murder in the Marketplace," BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers 25239, BAFFI CAREFIN, Centre for Applied Research on International Markets Banking Finance and Regulation, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy.
    11. Hangyu Chen & Yongming Sun & Yiming Yuan, 2026. "Artificial Intelligence and Skills: Evidence from Contrastive Learning in Online Job Vacancies," Papers 2601.03558, arXiv.org.
    12. Fabian Stephany & Ole Teutloff & Angelo Leone, 2026. "AI Skills Improve Job Prospects: Causal Evidence from a Hiring Experiment," Papers 2601.13286, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2026.
    13. Bershadskyy, Dmitri & Dinges, Laslo & Fiedler, Marc-André & Greif, Jannik & Al-Hamadi, Ayoub & Ostermaier, Nina & Weimann, Joachim, 2026. "Lie against AI: Revealing private information through AI in an economic experiment," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 245(C).
    14. Jesse Matheson & Brendon McConnell & James Rockey & Argyris Sakalis, 2023. "Do Remote Workers Deter Neighborhood Crime? Evidence from the Rise of Working from Home," Working Papers 2023020, The University of Sheffield, Department of Economics.
    15. Weiguang Deng & Xue Li & Zijun Luo, 2023. "A model of police financing through income and consumption taxes," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 70(3), pages 217-230, July.
    16. Asbjoern Juul Petersen & Jacob Richard Boeggild Strabo, 2026. "The Allocation of Talent Under Perfect and Imperfect Information," CEBI working paper series 26-08, University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics. The Center for Economic Behavior and Inequality (CEBI).
    17. Elena Quercioli & Lones Smith, 2024. "Hidden passing games," Review of Economic Design, Springer;Society for Economic Design, vol. 28(4), pages 639-650, December.
    18. Aseem Pahuja & Zhiling Guo & Tahir Abbas Syed, 2026. "Sweet Little Lies: Strategic Deception in AI Emotional Support Chatbots," Papers 2608.01480, arXiv.org.
    19. Itai Ashlagi & Ramesh Johari & Jon Kleinberg & Anushka Murthy, 2026. "Can Labor Markets Function in the Age of AI? The Evaluation Bottleneck in Hiring," Papers 2609.30058, arXiv.org.
    20. Hedlund, Jonas & Hernandez-Chanto, Allan & Oyarzun, Carlos, 2024. "Contagion management through information disclosure," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 218(C).

    More about this item

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2609.27404. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: arXiv administrators (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://arxiv.org/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.