IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/arx/papers/2311.10987.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Research on the Dynamic Evolution and Influencing Factors of Energy Resilience in China

Author

Listed:
  • Tie Wei
  • Youqi Chen
  • Zhicheng Duan

Abstract

Energy security is the guarantee for achieving the goal of carbon peaking and carbon neutrality, and exploring energy resilience is one of the important ways to promote energy security transition and adapt to changes in international and domestic energy markets. This paper applies the combined dynamic evaluation method to measure China's energy resilience level from 2004-2021, analyses the spatio-temporal dynamic evolution of China's energy resilience through the center of gravity-standard deviation ellipse and kernel density estimation, and employs geo-detectors to detect the main influencing factors and interactions of China's energy resilience. The study finds that:(1)China's energy resilience level generally shows a zigzagging forward development trend, and the spatial imbalance characteristic of China's energy resilience is more obvious.(2)The spatial dynamics of China's energy resilience level evolves in a northeast-southwest direction, and the whole moves towards the southwest, with an overall counterclockwise trend of constant offset.(3)When the energy resilience level of neighboring provinces is too low or too high, it has little effect on the improvement of the energy resilience level of the province; when the energy resilience level of neighboring provinces is 1-1.4, it has a positive spatial correlation with the energy resilience level of the province, and the synergistic development of the provinces can improve the energy resilience level together.(4)GDP, the number of employees, the number of employees enrolled in basic pension and medical insurance, and the number of patent applications in high-tech industries have a more significant impact on China's energy resilience, while China's energy resilience is affected by the interaction of multiple factors.

Suggested Citation

  • Tie Wei & Youqi Chen & Zhicheng Duan, 2023. "Research on the Dynamic Evolution and Influencing Factors of Energy Resilience in China," Papers 2311.10987, arXiv.org.
    • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2311.10987
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://arxiv.org/pdf/2311.10987
    File Function: Latest version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Daniel Lorenz, 2013. "The diversity of resilience: contributions from a social science perspective," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 67(1), pages 7-24, May.
    2. Hosseini, Seyedmohsen & Barker, Kash & Ramirez-Marquez, Jose E., 2016. "A review of definitions and measures of system resilience," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 145(C), pages 47-61.
    3. Toroghi, Shahaboddin Sean H. & Thomas, Valerie M., 2020. "A framework for the resilience analysis of electric infrastructure systems including temporary generation systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 202(C).
    4. Dong, Kangyin & Dong, Xiucheng & Jiang, Qingzhe & Zhao, Jun, 2021. "Assessing energy resilience and its greenhouse effect: A global perspective," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    5. Birte Frommer, 2013. "Climate change and the resilient society: utopia or realistic option for German regions?," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 67(1), pages 99-115, May.
    6. Nogal, M. & Honfi, D., 2019. "Assessment of road traffic resilience assuming stochastic user behaviour," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 185(C), pages 72-83.
    7. Malerba, Daniele, 2022. "Just transitions: A review of how to decarbonise energy systems while addressing poverty and inequality reduction," IDOS Discussion Papers 6/2022, German Institute of Development and Sustainability (IDOS).
    8. Francis, Royce & Bekera, Behailu, 2014. "A metric and frameworks for resilience analysis of engineered and infrastructure systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 121(C), pages 90-103.
    9. Jufri, Fauzan Hanif & Widiputra, Victor & Jung, Jaesung, 2019. "State-of-the-art review on power grid resilience to extreme weather events: Definitions, frameworks, quantitative assessment methodologies, and enhancement strategies," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 239(C), pages 1049-1065.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Umunnakwe, A. & Huang, H. & Oikonomou, K. & Davis, K.R., 2021. "Quantitative analysis of power systems resilience: Standardization, categorizations, and challenges," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
    2. Yang, Bofan & Zhang, Lin & Zhang, Bo & Xiang, Yang & An, Lei & Wang, Wenfeng, 2022. "Complex equipment system resilience: Composition, measurement and element analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 228(C).
    3. Khalilullah Mayar & David G. Carmichael & Xuesong Shen, 2022. "Resilience and Systems—A Review," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(14), pages 1-22, July.
    4. Adel Mottahedi & Farhang Sereshki & Mohammad Ataei & Ali Nouri Qarahasanlou & Abbas Barabadi, 2021. "The Resilience of Critical Infrastructure Systems: A Systematic Literature Review," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(6), pages 1-32, March.
    5. Zhu, Chunli & Wu, Jianping & Liu, Mingyu & Luan, Jianlin & Li, Tingting & Hu, Kezhen, 2020. "Cyber-physical resilience modelling and assessment of urban roadway system interrupted by rainfall," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 204(C).
    6. Senkel, Anne & Bode, Carsten & Schmitz, Gerhard, 2021. "Quantification of the resilience of integrated energy systems using dynamic simulation," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 209(C).
    7. Zhang, Zhenhua & Wu, Huangbin & Zhang, Yunpeng & Hu, Shilei & Pan, Yuxi & Feng, Yanchao, 2024. "Does digital global value chain participation reduce energy resilience? Evidence from 49 countries worldwide," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 208(C).
    8. Adriana Mar & Pedro Pereira & João F. Martins, 2019. "A Survey on Power Grid Faults and Their Origins: A Contribution to Improving Power Grid Resilience," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(24), pages 1-21, December.
    9. Fauzan Hanif Jufri & Jun-Sung Kim & Jaesung Jung, 2017. "Analysis of Determinants of the Impact and the Grid Capability to Evaluate and Improve Grid Resilience from Extreme Weather Event," Energies, MDPI, vol. 10(11), pages 1-17, November.
    10. Zou, Qiling & Chen, Suren, 2019. "Enhancing resilience of interdependent traffic-electric power system," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 191(C).
    11. Hongyan Dui & Kaixin Liu & Shaomin Wu, 2024. "Data-driven reliability and resilience measure of transportation systems considering disaster levels," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 340(1), pages 217-243, September.
    12. Ouyang, Min & Liu, Chuang & Xu, Min, 2019. "Value of resilience-based solutions on critical infrastructure protection: Comparing with robustness-based solutions," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 190(C), pages 1-1.
    13. Yifan Yang & S. Thomas Ng & Frank J. Xu & Martin Skitmore & Shenghua Zhou, 2019. "Towards Resilient Civil Infrastructure Asset Management: An Information Elicitation and Analytical Framework," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(16), pages 1-24, August.
    14. Ramirez-Marquez, Jose E. & Rocco, Claudio M. & Barker, Kash & Moronta, Jose, 2018. "Quantifying the resilience of community structures in networks," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 169(C), pages 466-474.
    15. Zhang, Chao & Xu, Xin & Dui, Hongyan, 2020. "Resilience Measure of Network Systems by Node and Edge Indicators," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 202(C).
    16. Mousavizadeh, Saeed & Haghifam, Mahmoud-Reza & Shariatkhah, Mohammad-Hossein, 2018. "A linear two-stage method for resiliency analysis in distribution systems considering renewable energy and demand response resources," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 211(C), pages 443-460.
    17. Eldosouky, AbdelRahman & Saad, Walid & Mandayam, Narayan, 2021. "Resilient critical infrastructure: Bayesian network analysis and contract-Based optimization," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 205(C).
    18. Mottahedi, Adel & Sereshki, Farhang & Ataei, Mohammad & Qarahasanlou, Ali Nouri & Barabadi, Abbas, 2021. "Resilience estimation of critical infrastructure systems: Application of expert judgment," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 215(C).
    19. Cerqueti, Roy & Ferraro, Giovanna & Iovanella, Antonio, 2019. "Measuring network resilience through connection patterns," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 188(C), pages 320-329.
    20. Liu, Xing & Fang, Yi-Ping & Zio, Enrico, 2021. "A Hierarchical Resilience Enhancement Framework for Interdependent Critical Infrastructures," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 215(C).

    More about this item

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2311.10987. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: arXiv administrators (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://arxiv.org/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.