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A multi-task network approach for calculating discrimination-free insurance prices

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  • Mathias Lindholm
  • Ronald Richman
  • Andreas Tsanakas
  • Mario V. Wuthrich

Abstract

In applications of predictive modeling, such as insurance pricing, indirect or proxy discrimination is an issue of major concern. Namely, there exists the possibility that protected policyholder characteristics are implicitly inferred from non-protected ones by predictive models, and are thus having an undesirable (or illegal) impact on prices. A technical solution to this problem relies on building a best-estimate model using all policyholder characteristics (including protected ones) and then averaging out the protected characteristics for calculating individual prices. However, such approaches require full knowledge of policyholders' protected characteristics, which may in itself be problematic. Here, we address this issue by using a multi-task neural network architecture for claim predictions, which can be trained using only partial information on protected characteristics, and it produces prices that are free from proxy discrimination. We demonstrate the use of the proposed model and we find that its predictive accuracy is comparable to a conventional feedforward neural network (on full information). However, this multi-task network has clearly superior performance in the case of partially missing policyholder information.

Suggested Citation

  • Mathias Lindholm & Ronald Richman & Andreas Tsanakas & Mario V. Wuthrich, 2022. "A multi-task network approach for calculating discrimination-free insurance prices," Papers 2207.02799, arXiv.org.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2207.02799
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Andreas Lagerås & Mathias Lindholm, 2020. "How to ask sensitive multiple‐choice questions," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 47(2), pages 397-424, June.
    2. Lindholm, M. & Richman, R. & Tsanakas, A. & Wüthrich, M.V., 2022. "Discrimination-Free Insurance Pricing," ASTIN Bulletin, Cambridge University Press, vol. 52(1), pages 55-89, January.
    3. Devin G. Pope & Justin R. Sydnor, 2011. "Implementing Anti-discrimination Policies in Statistical Profiling Models," American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, American Economic Association, vol. 3(3), pages 206-231, August.
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