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Conditional Value-at-Risk for Quantitative Trading: A Direct Reinforcement Learning Approach

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  • Ali Al-Ameer
  • Khaled Alshehri

Abstract

We propose a convex formulation for a trading system with the Conditional Value-at-Risk as a risk-adjusted performance measure under the notion of Direct Reinforcement Learning. Due to convexity, the proposed approach can uncover a lucrative trading policy in a "pure" online manner where it can interactively learn and update the policy without multi-epoch training and validation. We assess our proposed algorithm on a real financial market where it trades one of the largest US trust funds, SPDR, for three years. Numerical experiments demonstrate the algorithm's robustness in detecting central market-regime switching. Moreover, the results show the algorithm's effectiveness in extracting profitable policy while meeting an investor's risk preference under a conservative frictional market with a transaction cost of 0.15% per trade.

Suggested Citation

  • Ali Al-Ameer & Khaled Alshehri, 2021. "Conditional Value-at-Risk for Quantitative Trading: A Direct Reinforcement Learning Approach," Papers 2109.14438, arXiv.org.
    • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2109.14438
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    References listed on IDEAS

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