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Hedging Goals

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  • Thomas Krabichler
  • Marcus Wunsch

Abstract

Goal-based investing is concerned with reaching a monetary investment goal by a given finite deadline, which differs from mean-variance optimization in modern portfolio theory. In this article, we expand the close connection between goal-based investing and option hedging that was originally discovered in [Bro99b] by allowing for varying degrees of investor risk aversion using lower partial moments of different orders. Moreover, we show that maximizing the probability of reaching the goal (quantile hedging, cf. [FL99]) and minimizing the expected shortfall (efficient hedging, cf. [FL00]) yield, in fact, the same optimal investment policy. We furthermore present an innovative and model-free approach to goal-based investing using methods of reinforcement learning. To the best of our knowledge, we offer the first algorithmic approach to goal-based investing that can find optimal solutions in the presence of transaction costs.

Suggested Citation

  • Thomas Krabichler & Marcus Wunsch, 2021. "Hedging Goals," Papers 2105.07915, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2021.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2105.07915
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    2. Johannes Ruf & Weiguan Wang, 2019. "Neural networks for option pricing and hedging: a literature review," Papers 1911.05620, arXiv.org, revised May 2020.
    3. Eckhard Platen, 2005. "On The Role Of The Growth Optimal Portfolio In Finance," Australian Economic Papers, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 44(4), pages 365-388, December.
    4. Oleg Szehr, 2021. "Hedging of Financial Derivative Contracts via Monte Carlo Tree Search," Papers 2102.06274, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2021.
    5. Hans FÃllmer & Peter Leukert, 2000. "Efficient hedging: Cost versus shortfall risk," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 4(2), pages 117-146.
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