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Evaluating data augmentation for financial time series classification

Author

Listed:
  • Elizabeth Fons
  • Paula Dawson
  • Xiao-jun Zeng
  • John Keane
  • Alexandros Iosifidis

Abstract

Data augmentation methods in combination with deep neural networks have been used extensively in computer vision on classification tasks, achieving great success; however, their use in time series classification is still at an early stage. This is even more so in the field of financial prediction, where data tends to be small, noisy and non-stationary. In this paper we evaluate several augmentation methods applied to stocks datasets using two state-of-the-art deep learning models. The results show that several augmentation methods significantly improve financial performance when used in combination with a trading strategy. For a relatively small dataset ($\approx30K$ samples), augmentation methods achieve up to $400\%$ improvement in risk adjusted return performance; for a larger stock dataset ($\approx300K$ samples), results show up to $40\%$ improvement.

Suggested Citation

  • Elizabeth Fons & Paula Dawson & Xiao-jun Zeng & John Keane & Alexandros Iosifidis, 2020. "Evaluating data augmentation for financial time series classification," Papers 2010.15111, arXiv.org.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2010.15111
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Krauss, Christopher & Do, Xuan Anh & Huck, Nicolas, 2017. "Deep neural networks, gradient-boosted trees, random forests: Statistical arbitrage on the S&P 500," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 259(2), pages 689-702.
    2. Xiao Teng & Tuo Wang & Xiang Zhang & Long Lan & Zhigang Luo, 2020. "Enhancing Stock Price Trend Prediction via a Time-Sensitive Data Augmentation Method," Complexity, Hindawi, vol. 2020, pages 1-8, February.
    3. Christopher Krauss & Anh Do & Nicolas Huck, 2017. "Deep neural networks, gradient-boosted trees, random forests: Statistical arbitrage on the S&P 500," Post-Print hal-01768895, HAL.
    4. Fischer, Thomas & Krauss, Christopher, 2018. "Deep learning with long short-term memory networks for financial market predictions," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 270(2), pages 654-669.
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    Cited by:

    1. Liu Ziyin & Kentaro Minami & Kentaro Imajo, 2021. "Theoretically Motivated Data Augmentation and Regularization for Portfolio Construction," Papers 2106.04114, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2022.

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