IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/aly/journl/201833.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

The Effects Of Oil Prices On Turkeys Foreign Trade Relations To Azerbaijan

Author

Listed:
  • Mehmet Dikkaya

    (Kirikkale University, Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, Kirikkale, Turkey)

  • Bayram Veli Doyar

    (Suleyman Demirel University, Institute of Social Sciences, Isparta, Turkey)

  • Ozgur Kanbir

    (Giresun University, Görele School of Applied Sciences Giresun, Turkey)

Abstract

Turkey is one of the most important trade partners of Azerbaijan. Also, Azerbaijans national income is highly depended on oil revenues. Hence, this study aims to investigate the effects of oil prices on Azerbaijans imports from Turkey. For this purpose, a vector autoregression (VAR) model is estimated using quarterly data on imports, GDP, exchange rate and oil prices covering 2001-2016. Among other results, we find that a shock to oil prices positively affects Azerbaijans imports from Turkey. Furthermore, changes in Azerbaijans imports from Turkey are explained by oil prices about 11%.

Suggested Citation

  • Mehmet Dikkaya & Bayram Veli Doyar & Ozgur Kanbir, "undated". "The Effects Of Oil Prices On Turkeys Foreign Trade Relations To Azerbaijan," Review of Socio - Economic Perspectives 201833, Reviewsep.
    • Handle: RePEc:aly:journl:201833
    DOI: https://doi.org/10.19275/RSEP057
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://reviewsep.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/12/11_DIKKAYAArranged.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://reviewsep.com/?page_id=430
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/https://doi.org/10.19275/RSEP057?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Özlale, Ümit & Pekkurnaz, Didem, 2010. "Oil prices and current account: A structural analysis for the Turkish economy," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 38(8), pages 4489-4496, August.
    2. Chen, Shiu-Sheng & Hsu, Kai-Wei, 2012. "Reverse globalization: Does high oil price volatility discourage international trade?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(5), pages 1634-1643.
    3. Dickey, David A & Fuller, Wayne A, 1981. "Likelihood Ratio Statistics for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 49(4), pages 1057-1072, June.
    4. Sarwar, Suleman & Chen, Wei & Waheed, Rida, 2017. "Electricity consumption, oil price and economic growth: Global perspective," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 9-18.
    5. Wei, Yanfeng & Guo, Xiaoying, 2016. "An empirical analysis of the relationship between oil prices and the Chinese macro-economy," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 88-100.
    6. Olcay Y. Çulha & M. Utku Özmen & Erdal Yılmaz, 2016. "Impact of oil price changes on Turkey’s exports," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(9), pages 637-641, June.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Marques, António Cardoso & Fuinhas, José Alberto & Neves, Sónia Almeida, 2018. "Ordinary and Special Regimes of electricity generation in Spain: How they interact with economic activity," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 81(P1), pages 1226-1240.
    2. Solomon P. Nathaniel & Festus V. Bekun, 2020. "Electricity Consumption, Urbanization and Economic Growth in Nigeria: New Insights from Combined Cointegration amidst Structural Breaks," Research Africa Network Working Papers 20/013, Research Africa Network (RAN).
    3. Diaz, Elena Maria & Molero, Juan Carlos & Perez de Gracia, Fernando, 2016. "Oil price volatility and stock returns in the G7 economies," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 417-430.
    4. Husaini, Dzul Hadzwan & Puah, Chin-Hong & Lean, Hooi Hooi, 2019. "Energy subsidy and oil price fluctuation, and price behavior in Malaysia:A time series analysis," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 171(C), pages 1000-1008.
    5. Umar Bala & Lee Chin & Ghulam Mustafa, 2022. "Threshold Effects of Oil Price and Oil Export on Trade Balance in Africa," Journal of Economic Impact, Science Impact Publishers, vol. 4(1), pages 14-27.
    6. Hamdi, Helmi & Sbia, Rashid, 2013. "Dynamic relationships between oil revenues, government spending and economic growth in an oil-dependent economy," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 118-125.
    7. Nasir, Muhammad Ali & Naidoo, Lutchmee & Shahbaz, Muhammad & Amoo, Nii, 2018. "Implications of oil prices shocks for the major emerging economies: A comparative analysis of BRICS," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 76-88.
    8. Shahbaz, Muhammad & Sarwar, Suleman & Chen, Wei & Malik, Muhammad Nasir, 2017. "Dynamics of electricity consumption, oil price and economic growth: Global perspective," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 108(C), pages 256-270.
    9. Wei, Yanfeng, 2019. "Oil price shocks, economic policy uncertainty and China’s trade: A quantitative structural analysis," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 20-31.
    10. Malik, Meheroon Nisa Abdul & Masih, Mansur, 2017. "The relationship between energy consumption, financial development and economic growth: an evidence from Malaysia based on ARDL," MPRA Paper 86374, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    11. Balli, Esra & Nazif Çatık, Abdurrahman & Nugent, Jeffrey B., 2021. "Time-varying impact of oil shocks on trade balances: Evidence using the TVP-VAR model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 217(C).
    12. Mohamad Husam Helmi & Mohammed I. Abu Eleyan & Abdurrahman Nazif Çatık & Esra Ballı, 2023. "The Time-Varying Effects of Oil Shocks on the Trade Balance of Saudi Arabia," Resources, MDPI, vol. 12(5), pages 1-18, April.
    13. Yeliz Yalcin & Cengiz Arikan & Furkan Emirmahmutoglu, 2015. "Determining the asymmetric effects of oil price changes on macroeconomic variables: a case study of Turkey," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 42(4), pages 737-746, November.
    14. Köse, Nezir & Ünal, Emre, 2021. "The effects of the oil price and oil price volatility on inflation in Turkey," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 226(C).
    15. Raggad, Bechir, 2021. "Time varying causal relationship between renewable energy consumption, oil prices and economic activity: New evidence from the United States," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    16. Wang, Qiang & Li, Shuyu & Pisarenko, Zhanna, 2020. "Heterogeneous effects of energy efficiency, oil price, environmental pressure, R&D investment, and policy on renewable energy -- evidence from the G20 countries," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 209(C).
    17. Kırca, Mustafa & Canbay, Şerif & Pirali, Kerem, 2020. "Is the relationship between oil-gas prices index and economic growth in Turkey permanent?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    18. Shahbaz, Muhammad & Ahmed, Khalid & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Jiao, Zhilun, 2019. "Resource curse hypothesis and role of oil prices in USA," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    19. Troster, Victor & Shahbaz, Muhammad & Uddin, Gazi Salah, 2018. "Renewable energy, oil prices, and economic activity: A Granger-causality in quantiles analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 440-452.
    20. Rachid Hafsi & Abdelghafour Dadene & Abdelhak Guennoun, 2021. "The Relation between Economic Growth and Oil Production in the Gulf Cooperation Countries: Panel ARDL Approach," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 11(3), pages 301-307.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Oil prices; foreign trade; Azerbaijan; VAR model;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • F10 - International Economics - - Trade - - - General
    • Q43 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Energy and the Macroeconomy

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:aly:journl:201833. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Veysel KAYA (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/degraus.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.