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Inference on the tail process with application to financial time series modelling

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  • Davis, Richard
  • Drees, Holger
  • Segers, Johan
  • Warchol, Michal

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  • Davis, Richard & Drees, Holger & Segers, Johan & Warchol, Michal, 2018. "Inference on the tail process with application to financial time series modelling," LIDAM Discussion Papers ISBA 2018002, Université catholique de Louvain, Institute of Statistics, Biostatistics and Actuarial Sciences (ISBA).
    • Handle: RePEc:aiz:louvad:2018002
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Bollerslev, Tim & Todorov, Viktor & Li, Sophia Zhengzi, 2013. "Jump tails, extreme dependencies, and the distribution of stock returns," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 172(2), pages 307-324.
    2. Bollerslev, Tim & Todorov, Viktor & Xu, Lai, 2015. "Tail risk premia and return predictability," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 118(1), pages 113-134.
    3. Han, Heejoon & Linton, Oliver & Oka, Tatsushi & Whang, Yoon-Jae, 2016. "The cross-quantilogram: Measuring quantile dependence and testing directional predictability between time series," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 193(1), pages 251-270.
    4. Drees, Holger & Segers, Johan & Warchol, Michal, 2015. "Statistics for Tail Processes of Markov Chains," LIDAM Reprints ISBA 2015023, Université catholique de Louvain, Institute of Statistics, Biostatistics and Actuarial Sciences (ISBA).
    5. Linton, O. & Whang, Yoon-Jae, 2007. "The quantilogram: With an application to evaluating directional predictability," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 141(1), pages 250-282, November.
    6. Tjøstheim, Dag & Hufthammer, Karl Ove, 2013. "Local Gaussian correlation: A new measure of dependence," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 172(1), pages 33-48.
    7. Ding, Zhuanxin & Granger, Clive W. J. & Engle, Robert F., 1993. "A long memory property of stock market returns and a new model," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 1(1), pages 83-106, June.
    8. Basrak, Bojan & Segers, Johan, 2009. "Regularly varying multivariate time series," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 119(4), pages 1055-1080, April.
    9. Janssens, Anja & Segers, Johan, 2015. "Markov tail chains," LIDAM Reprints ISBA 2015010, Université catholique de Louvain, Institute of Statistics, Biostatistics and Actuarial Sciences (ISBA).
    10. Davis, Richard A. & Mikosch, Thomas & Cribben, Ivor, 2012. "Towards estimating extremal serial dependence via the bootstrapped extremogram," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 170(1), pages 142-152.
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    Cited by:

    1. Damek, Ewa & Mikosch, Thomas & Zhao, Yuwei & Zienkiewicz, Jacek, 2023. "Whittle estimation based on the extremal spectral density of a heavy-tailed random field," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 155(C), pages 232-267.
    2. Bücher, Axel & Jennessen, Tobias, 2022. "Statistical analysis for stationary time series at extreme levels: New estimators for the limiting cluster size distribution," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 149(C), pages 75-106.
    3. Buriticá, Gloria & Mikosch, Thomas & Wintenberger, Olivier, 2023. "Large deviations of ℓp-blocks of regularly varying time series and applications to cluster inference," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 161(C), pages 68-101.
    4. Pedro Henrique Melo Albuquerque & Yaohao Peng & João Pedro Fontoura da Silva, 2022. "Making the whole greater than the sum of its parts: A literature review of ensemble methods for financial time series forecasting," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(8), pages 1701-1724, December.
    5. Drees, Holger & Janßen, Anja & Neblung, Sebastian, 2021. "Cluster based inference for extremes of time series," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 142(C), pages 1-33.
    6. Gloria Buriticá & Philippe Naveau, 2023. "Stable sums to infer high return levels of multivariate rainfall time series," Environmetrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 34(4), June.

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