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Stochastic Dynamic Northern Corn Rootworm Population Model

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  • Mitchell, Paul D.
  • Riedell, Walter

Abstract

A complete life cycle model for northern corn rootworm, Diabrotica barberi Smith and Lawrence, is developed using a published single-season model of adult population dynamics and data from field experiments. Temperature-dependent development and age-dependent advancement determine adult population dynamics and oviposition, while a simple stochastic hatch and density-dependent larval survival model determine adult emergence. Dispersal is not modeled. To evaluate the long-run perform nce of the model, stochastically generated daily air and soil temperatures are used for 100-year simulations for a variety of corn planting and flowering dates in Ithaca, NY, and Brookings, SD. Once the model is corrected for a bias in oviposition, model predictions for both locations are consistent with anecdotal field data. Extinctions still occur, but these may be consistent with northern corn rootworm metapopulation dynamics.

Suggested Citation

  • Mitchell, Paul D. & Riedell, Walter, 2000. "Stochastic Dynamic Northern Corn Rootworm Population Model," Hebrew University of Jerusalem Archive 18381, Hebrew University of Jerusalem.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:hebarc:18381
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.18381
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    References listed on IDEAS

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