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Guerre Monétaire Internationale et Compétitivité : Cas des Pays de la zone CEMAC

Author

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  • Klod Urbain SEKE

    (Association of African Young Economists)

  • Christian Lambert NGUENA

    (Association of African Young Economists)

Abstract

Dans un contexte de tension monétaire internationale et de survie du Franc CFA dépendant de l’euro du fait de la convertibilité permanente, l’objectif de cet article est d’étudier l’impact que pourrait avoir une telle situation sur les transactions économiques des PAZF en général et de la CEMAC en particulier. Le taux de change effectif réel (TCER) est un indicateur de compétitivité pertinent sous réserve que la productivité globale reste inchangée, ce qui semble être le cas pour la zone franc depuis 1994 (Joufelkit, 2005). Les résultats ont permis de confirmer nos hypothèses de départ. En général, l’on constate une nette amélioration de la compétitivité au travers du TCER à partir de 2010 ; également, le bien-être en terme quantitatif évolue également à la hausse. En guise de perspective, il serait bon de faire des simulations de différents scénarii des effets de cette guerre monétaire sur notre zone géographique d’étude ; ceci pour pourvoir mettre sur pied une théorie en intelligence économique, permettant l’atteinte du statut de « pays émergent » quel que soit le calendrier des différents pays de la CEMAC.

Suggested Citation

  • Klod Urbain SEKE & Christian Lambert NGUENA, 2015. "Guerre Monétaire Internationale et Compétitivité : Cas des Pays de la zone CEMAC," AAYE Policy Research Working Paper Series 15_030, Association of African Young Economists, revised Oct 2015.
    • Handle: RePEc:aay:wpaper:15_030
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    1. Robert M. Solow, 1956. "A Contribution to the Theory of Economic Growth," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 70(1), pages 65-94.
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