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Global Financial Cycle and Liquidity Management

In: NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2022

Author

Listed:
  • Olivier Jeanne
  • Damiano Sandri

Abstract

We use a tractable model to show that emerging markets can protect themselves from the global financial cycle by expanding (rather than restricting) capital flows. This involves accumulating foreign liquid assets when global liquidity is high to then buy back domestic assets at a discount when global financial conditions tighten. Since the private sector does not internalize how this buffering mechanism reduces international borrowing costs, a social planner increases the size of capital flows relative to the laissez-faire equilibrium. The model also shows that foreign exchange interventions may be preferable to capital controls in less financially developed countries.
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Suggested Citation

  • Olivier Jeanne & Damiano Sandri, 2022. "Global Financial Cycle and Liquidity Management," NBER Chapters, in: NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2022, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    • Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberch:14803
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    Cited by:

    1. is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Sandri, Damiano, 2023. "FX intervention to stabilize or manipulate the exchange rate? Inference from profitability," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
    3. Eiji Fujii & Xingwang Qian, 2025. "Cyclicality of International Reserves, Exchange Rate Flexibility, and Output Volatility," CESifo Working Paper Series 11800, CESifo.
    4. Corsetti, Giancarlo & Maeng, Fred Seunghyun, 2023. "The Theory of Reserve Accumulation, Revisited," CEPR Discussion Papers 18644, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    5. J. Scott Davis & Michael B. Devereux & Changhua Yu, 2020. "Sudden Stops in Emerging Economies: The Role of World Interest Rates and Foreign Exchange Intervention," Globalization Institute Working Papers 405, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, revised 10 Sep 2021.
    6. Cezar, Rafael & Monnet, Eric, 2023. "Capital controls and foreign reserves against external shocks: Combined or alone?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
    7. Davis, J. Scott & Devereux, Michael B. & Yu, Changhua, 2023. "Sudden stops and optimal foreign exchange intervention," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
    8. Jeanne, Olivier, 2022. "Rounding the corners of the trilemma: A simple framework," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 122(C).
    9. Cavallino, Paolo & Sandri, Damiano, 2023. "The open-economy ELB: Contractionary monetary easing and the trilemma," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
    10. repec:cam:camjip:2319 is not listed on IDEAS
    11. Nelson Camanho & Harald Hau & Hélène Rey, 2022. "Global Portfolio Rebalancing and Exchange Rates," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 35(11), pages 5228-5274.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements
    • F36 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration
    • F38 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Financial Policy: Financial Transactions Tax; Capital Controls

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