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Nikita Denisovich Fokin

Personal Details

First Name:Nikita
Middle Name:Denisovich
Last Name:Fokin
Suffix:
RePEc Short-ID:pfo340
[This author has chosen not to make the email address public]

Affiliation

(50%) Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA)

Moscow, Russia
http://www.ranepa.ru/
RePEc:edi:aneeeru (more details at EDIRC)

(50%) Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy

Moscow, Russia
http://www.iep.ru/
RePEc:edi:gaidaru (more details at EDIRC)

Research output

as
Jump to: Working papers Articles

Working papers

  1. Maiorova, Ksenia & Fokin, Nikita, 2020. "Наукастинг Темпов Роста Стоимостных Объемов Экспорта И Импорта По Товарным Группам [Nowcasting the growth rates of the export and import by commodity groups]," MPRA Paper 109557, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  2. Lomonosov, Daniil & Polbin, Andrey & Fokin, Nikita, 2020. "Влияние Шоков Мировой Деловой Активности, Предложения Нефти И Спекулятивных Нефтяных Шоков На Экономику Рф [The impact of global economic activity, oil supply and speculative oil shocks on the Russ," MPRA Paper 106019, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  3. Fokin, Nikita & Haritonova, Marina, 2020. "Сравнительный Анализ Прогнозных Моделей Российского Ввп В Условиях Наличия Структурных Сдвигов [Comparative analysis of the forecasting models for Russia’s GDP under the structural breaks]," MPRA Paper 103412, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  4. Fokin, Nikita (Фокин, Никита), 2020. "Assessment of the change in the trajectory of adaptation of the real ruble exchange rate to the equilibrium due to a change in the monetary policy regime [Оценка Изменения Траектории Приспособления," Working Papers 032012, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration.
  5. Tretyakov, Dmitriy & Fokin, Nikita, 2020. "Помогают Ли Высокочастотные Данные В Прогнозировании Российской Инфляции? [Does the high-frequency data is helpful for forecasting Russian inflation?]," MPRA Paper 109556, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  6. Fokin, Nikita & Polbin, Andrey, 2019. "A Bivariate Forecasting Model For Russian GDP Under Structural Changes In Monetary Policy and Long-Term Growth," MPRA Paper 95306, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Apr 2019.
  7. Fokin, Nikita (Фокин, Никита), 2019. "VAR-LASSO model for the Russian economy on a large data set [Var-Lasso Модель Для Российской Экономики На Большом Массиве Данных]," Working Papers 031951, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration.
  8. Skrobotov, Anton (Скроботов, Антон) & Fokin, Nikita (Фокин, Никита), 2018. "Testing the Asymmetric Convergence of the Real Exchange Rate to Equilibrium During the Managed Ruble Exchange Rate Regime [Тестирование Ассиметричной Сходимости Реального Обменного Курса К Равновес," Working Papers 021808, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration.
  9. Polbin, Andrey & Fokin, Nikita, 2017. "К Вопросу О Долгосрочной Взаимосвязи Реального Потребления Домохозяйств С Реальным Доходом В Рф [A note on cointegration relationship between real consumption and real income in Russia]," MPRA Paper 82451, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Nov 2017.

Articles

  1. Nikita D. Fokin & Ekaterina V. Malikova & Andrey V. Polbin, 2024. "Time-varying parameters error correction model for real ruble exchange rate and oil prices: What has changed due to capital control and sanctions?," Russian Journal of Economics, ARPHA Platform, vol. 10(1), pages 20-33, March.
  2. Ekaterina Bobrovskaya & Andrey Polbin & Nikita Fokin, 2024. "Hedonic Price Indices for Moscow Short-Term Rental Housing," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 83(1), pages 77-103, March.
  3. S. M. Drobyshevsky & M. V. Kazakova & E. V. Sinelnikova-Muryleva & P. V. Trunin & N. D. Fokin, 2022. "Trend inflation: Estimates for the Russian economy," Voprosy Ekonomiki, NP Voprosy Ekonomiki, issue 1.
  4. Ekaterina V. Malikova & Nikita D. Fokin, 2022. "Оценка Трендового Темпа Роста Ввп При Помощи Tvp-Arx-Sv-Модели," Russian Economic Development (in Russian), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 3, pages 22-27, March.
  5. Ekaterina V. Malikova & Nikita D. Fokin, 2022. "Estimation of the Long-run GDP Growth Rate Using the TVP-ARX-SV Model [Оценка Трендового Темпа Роста Ввп При Помощи Tvp-Arx-Sv-Модели]," Russian Economic Development, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 3, pages 22-27, March.
  6. A. V. Polbin & N. D. Fokin, 2022. "DSGE models with heterogeneous economic agents: A new notion at the characteristics of the functioning of the economy," Voprosy Ekonomiki, NP Voprosy Ekonomiki, issue 9.
  7. Fokin, Nikita, 2021. "The importance of modeling structural breaks in forecasting Russian GDP," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 63, pages 5-29.
  8. Daniil Lomonosov & Andrey Polbin & Nikita Fokin, 2021. "The Impact of Global Economic Activity, Oil Supply and Speculative Oil Shocks on the Russian Economy," HSE Economic Journal, National Research University Higher School of Economics, vol. 25(2), pages 227-262.
  9. Ksenia Mayorova & Nikita Fokin, 2021. "Nowcasting Growth Rates of Russia’s Export and Import by Commodity Group," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 80(3), pages 34-48, September.
  10. Polbin Andrey & Fokin Nikita, 2021. "Employment in Russia in 2020: a Controversial Recovery [Занятость В России В 2020 Г.: Противоречивое Восстановление]," Russian Economic Development, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 4, pages 74-76, April.
  11. Ponomarev Yuri & Radchenko Daria & Makarov Andrey & Borzhyh K. & Lyashok Viktor & Polbin Andrei & Tsukhlo Sergey & Fokin Nikita, 2021. "Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-economic Development," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development (In Russian), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 7, pages 1-19, April.
  12. Polbin Andrey & Fokin Nikita, 2021. "Занятость В России В 2020 Г.: Противоречивое Восстановление," Russian Economic Development (in Russian), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 4, pages 74-76, April.
  13. Ponomarev Yuri & Radchenko Daria & Makarov Andrey & Borzhyh K. & Lyashok Viktor & Polbin Andrei & Fokin Nikita & Tsukhlo Sergey, 2021. "Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-economic Development," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 7, pages 1-18, April.
  14. Polbin, Andrey & Fokin, Nikita, 2020. "Modeling the dynamics of import in the Russian Federation using the error correction model," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 59, pages 88-112.
  15. D. A. Lomonosov & A. V. Polbin & N. D. Fokin, 2020. "Demand, supply, monetary policy, and oil price shocks in the Russian economy (Analysis based on the BVAR model with sign restrictions)," Voprosy Ekonomiki, NP Voprosy Ekonomiki, issue 10.
  16. Nikita Fokin & Andrey Polbin, 2019. "Forecasting Russia's Key Macroeconomic Indicators with the VAR-LASSO Model," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 78(2), pages 67-93, June.
  17. Skrobotov, Anton A. (Скроботов, Антон) & Fokin, Nikita D. (Фокин, Никита), 2018. "Testing Asymmetric Convergence of the Real Exchange Rate to Equilibrium During Ruble Exchange Rate Targeting [Тестирование Асимметричной Сходимости Реального Обменного Курса К Равновесному Во Время," Ekonomicheskaya Politika / Economic Policy, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration, vol. 3, pages 132-147, June.

Citations

Many of the citations below have been collected in an experimental project, CitEc, where a more detailed citation analysis can be found. These are citations from works listed in RePEc that could be analyzed mechanically. So far, only a minority of all works could be analyzed. See under "Corrections" how you can help improve the citation analysis.

Working papers

  1. Fokin, Nikita & Polbin, Andrey, 2019. "A Bivariate Forecasting Model For Russian GDP Under Structural Changes In Monetary Policy and Long-Term Growth," MPRA Paper 95306, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Apr 2019.

    Cited by:

    1. Fokin, Nikita, 2021. "The importance of modeling structural breaks in forecasting Russian GDP," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 63, pages 5-29.
    2. Andrey Feliksovich Bedin & Alexander Vladimirovich Kulikov & Andrey Vladimirovich Polbin, 2021. "A Markov Switching VECM Model for Russian Real GDP, Real Exchange Rate and Oil Prices," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 11(2), pages 402-412.
    3. Fokin, Nikita & Haritonova, Marina, 2020. "Сравнительный Анализ Прогнозных Моделей Российского Ввп В Условиях Наличия Структурных Сдвигов [Comparative analysis of the forecasting models for Russia’s GDP under the structural breaks]," MPRA Paper 103412, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Zubarev, Andrey & Kirillova, Maria, 2021. "Эконометрическая Оценка Влияния Шоков На Рынке Нефти На Макроэкономические Показатели Российской Федерации С Помощью Gvar Моделирования [The Impact of Oil Market Shocks on the Macroeconomic Indicat," MPRA Paper 110410, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 01 Nov 2021.
    5. Zubarev, Andrey & Kirillova, Maria, 2022. "Оценивание Влияния Внешних Шоков На Российскую Экономику С Помощью Модели Gvar [Estimating the impact of external shocks on Russian economy: GVAR approach]," MPRA Paper 113762, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 01 Jul 2022.

  2. Fokin, Nikita (Фокин, Никита), 2019. "VAR-LASSO model for the Russian economy on a large data set [Var-Lasso Модель Для Российской Экономики На Большом Массиве Данных]," Working Papers 031951, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration.

    Cited by:

    1. Nikita Fokin & Andrey Polbin, 2019. "Forecasting Russia's Key Macroeconomic Indicators with the VAR-LASSO Model," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 78(2), pages 67-93, June.
    2. Kitova, Olga & Dyakonova, Ludmila & Savinova, Victoria & Fomin, Kiril, 2023. "Forecasting the main economic indicators for industry in the analytical system "Horizon"," MPRA Paper 118887, University Library of Munich, Germany.

  3. Skrobotov, Anton (Скроботов, Антон) & Fokin, Nikita (Фокин, Никита), 2018. "Testing the Asymmetric Convergence of the Real Exchange Rate to Equilibrium During the Managed Ruble Exchange Rate Regime [Тестирование Ассиметричной Сходимости Реального Обменного Курса К Равновес," Working Papers 021808, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration.

    Cited by:

    1. Nikita Fokin & Andrey Polbin, 2019. "Forecasting Russia's Key Macroeconomic Indicators with the VAR-LASSO Model," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 78(2), pages 67-93, June.
    2. Polbin, Andrey & Shumilov, Andrei & Bedin, Andrei & Kulikov, Alexander, 2019. "Modeling real exchange rate of the Russian ruble using Markov regime switching approach," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 55, pages 32-50.
    3. Andrey Bedin & Alexander Kulikov & Andrey Polbin, 2023. "Copula-Based Modelling of Relationship Between Dollar/Rouble Exchange Rate and Oil Prices," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 82(3), pages 87-109, September.

Articles

  1. Ekaterina V. Malikova & Nikita D. Fokin, 2022. "Estimation of the Long-run GDP Growth Rate Using the TVP-ARX-SV Model [Оценка Трендового Темпа Роста Ввп При Помощи Tvp-Arx-Sv-Модели]," Russian Economic Development, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 3, pages 22-27, March.

    Cited by:

    1. Artur R. Sharafutdinov, 2023. "Разрыв Выпуска В Российской Экономике: Оценка На Основе Многомерного Фильтра Мвф," Russian Economic Development (in Russian), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 4, pages 15-23, April.
    2. Artur R. Sharafutdinov, 2023. "Output Gap in Russian Economy: Estimate Based on the IMF’s Multivariate Filter [Разрыв Выпуска В Российской Экономике: Оценка На Основе Многомерного Фильтра Мвф]," Russian Economic Development, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 4, pages 15-23, April.

  2. Fokin, Nikita, 2021. "The importance of modeling structural breaks in forecasting Russian GDP," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 63, pages 5-29.

    Cited by:

    1. Cremaschini, Alessandro & Maruotti, Antonello, 2023. "A finite mixture analysis of structural breaks in the G-7 gross domestic product series," Research in Economics, Elsevier, vol. 77(1), pages 76-90.
    2. Polbin, Andrey & Skrobotov, Anton, 2022. "On decrease in oil price elasticity of GDP and investment in Russia," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 66, pages 5-24.

  3. Daniil Lomonosov & Andrey Polbin & Nikita Fokin, 2021. "The Impact of Global Economic Activity, Oil Supply and Speculative Oil Shocks on the Russian Economy," HSE Economic Journal, National Research University Higher School of Economics, vol. 25(2), pages 227-262.

    Cited by:

    1. Sugaipov, Deni, 2022. "Estimating the impact of terms of trade news shocks on the Russian economy," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 66, pages 39-67.
    2. Lomonosov Daniil, 2021. "Role of the Coronavirus Pandemic and the Collapse of the OPEC+ Deal in the Dynamics of Oil Prices in 2020 [Роль Пандемии Коронавируса И Развала Сделки Опек+ В Динамике Цены На Нефть В 2020 Г]," Russian Economic Development, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 8, pages 23-28, August.
    3. Lomonosov Daniil, 2021. "Роль Пандемии Коронавируса И Развала Сделки Опек+ В Динамике Цены На Нефть В 2020 Г," Russian Economic Development (in Russian), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 8, pages 23-28, August.
    4. Lomonosov, Daniil, 2021. "Роль Коронавирусной Пандемии И Развала Сделки Опек+ В Динамике Цены На Нефть В 2020 Году [The role of the coronavirus pandemic and the collapse of the OPEC + deal in the dynamics of oil prices in 2," MPRA Paper 109319, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Daniil Lomonosov, 2023. "Shocks of Business Activity and Specific Shocks to Oil Market in DSGE Model of Russian Economy and Their Influence Under Different Monetary Policy Regimes," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 82(4), pages 44-79, December.
    6. Andrey Zubarev & Daniil Lomonosov & Konstantin Rybak, 2022. "Estimation of the Impact of Global Shocks on the Russian Economy and GDP Nowcasting Using a Factor Model," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 81(2), pages 49-78, June.
    7. Kirill Anikeev & Vadim Grishchenko, 2023. "Russian Real Economy and Financial Sector Under the Structural Transformation: Review of the Bank of Russia, NES, and HSE University Workshop," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 82(4), pages 126-144, December.

  4. Ksenia Mayorova & Nikita Fokin, 2021. "Nowcasting Growth Rates of Russia’s Export and Import by Commodity Group," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 80(3), pages 34-48, September.

    Cited by:

    1. Urmat Dzhunkeev, 2022. "Forecasting Unemployment in Russia Using Machine Learning Methods," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 81(1), pages 73-87, March.

  5. Polbin, Andrey & Fokin, Nikita, 2020. "Modeling the dynamics of import in the Russian Federation using the error correction model," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 59, pages 88-112.

    Cited by:

    1. Maiorova, Ksenia & Fokin, Nikita, 2020. "Наукастинг Темпов Роста Стоимостных Объемов Экспорта И Импорта По Товарным Группам [Nowcasting the growth rates of the export and import by commodity groups]," MPRA Paper 109557, University Library of Munich, Germany.

  6. D. A. Lomonosov & A. V. Polbin & N. D. Fokin, 2020. "Demand, supply, monetary policy, and oil price shocks in the Russian economy (Analysis based on the BVAR model with sign restrictions)," Voprosy Ekonomiki, NP Voprosy Ekonomiki, issue 10.

    Cited by:

    1. Daniil Lomonosov, 2023. "Shocks of Business Activity and Specific Shocks to Oil Market in DSGE Model of Russian Economy and Their Influence Under Different Monetary Policy Regimes," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 82(4), pages 44-79, December.
    2. Kirill Anikeev & Vadim Grishchenko, 2023. "Russian Real Economy and Financial Sector Under the Structural Transformation: Review of the Bank of Russia, NES, and HSE University Workshop," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 82(4), pages 126-144, December.

  7. Nikita Fokin & Andrey Polbin, 2019. "Forecasting Russia's Key Macroeconomic Indicators with the VAR-LASSO Model," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 78(2), pages 67-93, June.

    Cited by:

    1. Mikhail Gareev, 2020. "Use of Machine Learning Methods to Forecast Investment in Russia," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 79(1), pages 35-56, March.

  8. Skrobotov, Anton A. (Скроботов, Антон) & Fokin, Nikita D. (Фокин, Никита), 2018. "Testing Asymmetric Convergence of the Real Exchange Rate to Equilibrium During Ruble Exchange Rate Targeting [Тестирование Асимметричной Сходимости Реального Обменного Курса К Равновесному Во Время," Ekonomicheskaya Politika / Economic Policy, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration, vol. 3, pages 132-147, June.

    Cited by:

    1. Nikita Fokin & Andrey Polbin, 2019. "Forecasting Russia's Key Macroeconomic Indicators with the VAR-LASSO Model," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 78(2), pages 67-93, June.
    2. Polbin, Andrey & Shumilov, Andrei & Bedin, Andrei & Kulikov, Alexander, 2019. "Modeling real exchange rate of the Russian ruble using Markov regime switching approach," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 55, pages 32-50.
    3. Andrey Bedin & Alexander Kulikov & Andrey Polbin, 2023. "Copula-Based Modelling of Relationship Between Dollar/Rouble Exchange Rate and Oil Prices," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 82(3), pages 87-109, September.

More information

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Statistics

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Co-authorship network on CollEc

NEP Fields

NEP is an announcement service for new working papers, with a weekly report in each of many fields. This author has had 10 papers announced in NEP. These are the fields, ordered by number of announcements, along with their dates. If the author is listed in the directory of specialists for this field, a link is also provided.
  1. NEP-CIS: Confederation of Independent States (10) 2017-11-12 2018-04-16 2019-04-08 2019-08-26 2020-05-11 2020-10-12 2020-11-02 2021-04-12 2021-09-20 2021-09-20. Author is listed
  2. NEP-MAC: Macroeconomics (5) 2017-11-12 2019-08-26 2020-05-11 2021-04-12 2021-09-20. Author is listed
  3. NEP-FOR: Forecasting (3) 2019-04-08 2019-08-26 2021-09-20. Author is listed
  4. NEP-ORE: Operations Research (3) 2020-10-12 2020-11-02 2021-09-20. Author is listed
  5. NEP-TRA: Transition Economics (3) 2017-11-12 2018-04-16 2019-08-26. Author is listed
  6. NEP-ISF: Islamic Finance (2) 2021-09-20 2021-09-20
  7. NEP-BAN: Banking (1) 2021-09-20
  8. NEP-BIG: Big Data (1) 2021-09-20
  9. NEP-CBA: Central Banking (1) 2020-05-11
  10. NEP-CMP: Computational Economics (1) 2021-09-20
  11. NEP-ENE: Energy Economics (1) 2021-04-12
  12. NEP-GEN: Gender (1) 2020-05-11
  13. NEP-MON: Monetary Economics (1) 2020-05-11

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