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Weltkrieg um Wohlstand und pathologischer Exportboom? Warum Deutschland auch weiterhin von der Globalisierung profitiert

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  • Matthes, Jürgen

Abstract

Die Studie geht auf drei akademische Literaturzweige ein, die jeweils darstellen, dass Industrieländer bei Freihandel durch den Wettbewerb der Schwellenländer Wohlfahrtsverluste erleiden können. Es handelt sich dabei erstens um die Kombination eines Heckscher/Ohlin-Modells mit einem starren Mindestlohn, das auch die Grundlage für die These des sogenannten "pathologischen Exportbooms" bildet. Zweitens wird die These vom vermeintlich drohenden "Weltkrieg um Wohlstand" aufgegriffen und durch einen Rückgriff auf wissenschaftliche Beiträge etwa von Samuelson und Freeman scheinbar fundiert, die das technologische Aufholen der Schwellenländer als mögliche Gefahr für die Industrieländer begreifen. Drittens wird im Modellrahmen der Neuen Ökonomischen Geografie gefragt, ob Deutschland und andere hoch entwickelte Länder einen massiven Exodus ihrer Industrieproduktion in die Schwellenländer fürchten müssen. Es wird jeweils gezeigt, dass die Modellannahmen zu stark vereinfachen und die freihandelsskeptischen Argumente deutlich zu relativieren sind. Auch einer Empirischen Überprüfung halten die Modellergebnisse weitgehend nicht stand. Vielmehr sprechen viele Argumente dafür, dass gerade Deutschland von der Globalisierung profitiert.

Suggested Citation

  • Matthes, Jürgen, 2007. "Weltkrieg um Wohlstand und pathologischer Exportboom? Warum Deutschland auch weiterhin von der Globalisierung profitiert," IW-Analysen, Institut der deutschen Wirtschaft (IW) / German Economic Institute, volume 28, number 28.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:iwkana:28
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. James R. Markusen, 2004. "Multinational Firms and the Theory of International Trade," MIT Press Books, The MIT Press, edition 1, volume 1, number 0262633078, December.
    2. Richard B. Freeman, 2006. "Does Globalization of the Scientific/Engineering Workforce Threaten US Economic Leadership?," NBER Chapters, in: Innovation Policy and the Economy, Volume 6, pages 123-158, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. Markusen, James, 2005. "Modeling the Offshoring of White-Collar Services: From Comparative Advantage to the New Theories of Trade and FDI," CEPR Discussion Papers 5408, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
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    1. Jürgen Matthes, 2020. "Technologietransfer durch Unternehmensübernahmen chinesischer Investoren [Technology Transfer Through Company Takeovers by Chinese Investors]," Wirtschaftsdienst, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 100(8), pages 633-639, August.
    2. Jürgen Matthes, 2020. "China’s Market Distortions and the Impact of the Covid-19 Crisis," CESifo Forum, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 21(03), pages 42-48, September.

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