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Real Sector Propogation of the Recent Global Financial Crisis

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  • Reza Y Siregar
  • C.S. Lim, Vincent

Abstract

This paper attempts to examine the real sector propagation of the recent global financial crisis in the SEACEN economies. This is of particular interest as SEACEN economies are known for their trade-oriented nature. In particular, during the subprime crisis, weak demand, particularly in traditional export markets of SEACEN economies like the United States, Japan and European markets, had an adverse effect on the current account of the SEACEN economies. However, when examined more closely, the non-availability of trade financing could be identified as a potential reason to the weakening of exports. Establishing possible links between trade financing (financial sector) and trade sector performance (the real sector), commonly referred to as macro-financial linkages is crucial to gather a better understanding of the impacts of the financial sector, particularly following the recent sub-prime crisis.

Suggested Citation

  • Reza Y Siregar & C.S. Lim, Vincent, 2011. "Real Sector Propogation of the Recent Global Financial Crisis," Research Studies, South East Asian Central Banks (SEACEN) Research and Training Centre, number rp82, April.
  • Handle: RePEc:sea:rstudy:rp82
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Banerjee, Anindya & Dolado, Juan J. & Galbraith, John W. & Hendry, David, 1993. "Co-integration, Error Correction, and the Econometric Analysis of Non-Stationary Data," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780198288107.
    2. Márcio Valério Ronci, 2004. "Trade Finance and Trade Flows; Panel Data Evidence From 10 Crises," IMF Working Papers 04/225, International Monetary Fund.
    3. Shrestha, Min B. & Chowdhury, Khorshed, 2005. "ARDL Modelling Approach to Testing the Financial Liberalisation Hypothesis," Economics Working Papers wp05-15, School of Economics, University of Wollongong, NSW, Australia.
    4. Menkhoff, Lukas & Suwanaporn, Chodechai, 2007. "10 Years after the crisis: Thailand's financial system reform," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 18(1), pages 4-20, February.
    5. Johansen, Soren, 1995. "Likelihood-Based Inference in Cointegrated Vector Autoregressive Models," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780198774501.
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