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Ties to the rest: autocratic linkages and regime survival

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  • Tansey, Oisin
  • Koehler, Kevin
  • Schmotz, Alexander

Abstract

The relationship between international linkages and the nature and survival of political regimes has gained increasing attention in recent years, but remains one that is poorly understood. In this article, we make three central contributions to our understanding of international linkage politics and autocratic regime survival. First, we introduce and develop the concept of “autocratic linkage,” and highlight its importance for understanding the international politics of autocratic survival. Second, we use event history analysis to demonstrate that autocratic linkage has a systematic effect on the duration of authoritarian regimes. Finally, we complement our quantitative analysis with a focused comparison of autocratic linkage politics in the Middle East. We show that variation in Saudi Arabian support for autocratic incumbents in the wake of the Arab Spring protests can be explained in significant part by variation in linkage relationships.

Suggested Citation

  • Tansey, Oisin & Koehler, Kevin & Schmotz, Alexander, 2017. "Ties to the rest: autocratic linkages and regime survival," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 50(9), pages 1221-1254.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:espost:170754
    DOI: 10.1177/0010414016666859
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

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    2. Alexander Libman, 2018. "Post-Soviet Trade and Institutional Quality: Subnational Evidence," Spatial Economics=Prostranstvennaya Ekonomika, Economic Research Institute, Far Eastern Branch, Russian Academy of Sciences (Khabarovsk, Russia), issue 3, pages 115-137.
    3. Schlumberger, Oliver, 2021. "Puzzles of political change in the Middle East: Political liberalisation, authoritarian resilience and the question of systemic change," IDOS Discussion Papers 5/2021, German Institute of Development and Sustainability (IDOS).
    4. Christina Cottiero & Emilie M. Hafner-Burton & Stephan Haggard & Lauren Prather & Christina J. Schneider, 2025. "Illiberal regimes and international organizations," The Review of International Organizations, Springer, vol. 20(2), pages 231-259, June.
    5. Cottiero, Christina & Haggard, Stephan, 2021. "The Rise of Authoritarian Regional International Organizations," Institute on Global Conflict and Cooperation, Working Paper Series qt1360q3g4, Institute on Global Conflict and Cooperation, University of California.
    6. Boese-Schlosser, Vanessa A. & Edgell, Amanda B. & Hellmeier, Sebastian & Maerz, Seraphine F. & Lindberg, Staffan I., 2021. "How democracies prevail: democratic resilience as a two-stage process," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 28(5), pages 885-907.
    7. Cottiero, Christina & Hafner-Burton, Emily & Haggard, Stephan & Prather, Lauren & Schneider, Christina J, 2024. "Illiberal Regimes and International Organizations," Institute on Global Conflict and Cooperation, Working Paper Series qt2bx6b98g, Institute on Global Conflict and Cooperation, University of California.

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