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A Critical Assessment Of Past Investigations Into Singapore'S Saving Behavior

Author

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  • GREGOR HOPF

    (Goodenough College, Mecklenburgh Square, London, WC1N 2AB, UK)

Abstract

This article aims to show that the literature so far has not been able to present a statistically robust answer to the question of what drove Singapore's spectacular savings rates. A substantial part of the literature — particularly earlier studies — must be rejected on methodological grounds since the time-series properties of the respective data series were not taken into consideration when choosing the appropriate testing method. Others have omitted potentially crucial determinants of savings or have wrongly disaggregated Gross National Savings. This unsatisfactory state of investigation into Singapore's saving behavior is unfortunate because savings play such a central role in Singapore's economic history since the country's independence. For future research the article also supplies new data series, which disaggregate Singapore's national savings after taking the country's peculiarities into consideration. The critical assessment is also intended as a guideline to future researchers of which mistakes to avoid and where potential pitfalls lie.

Suggested Citation

  • Gregor Hopf, 2006. "A Critical Assessment Of Past Investigations Into Singapore'S Saving Behavior," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 51(01), pages 67-90.
  • Handle: RePEc:wsi:serxxx:v:51:y:2006:i:01:n:s0217590806002238
    DOI: 10.1142/S0217590806002238
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Huff,W. G., 1997. "The Economic Growth of Singapore," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521629447.
    2. Ernesto Talvi & Pablo Serra & Nancy Birdsall & Howard Pack & Andrés Solimano & Barbara Stallings & Michael Gavin & Richard H. Sabot & Nora Lustig & Humberto Petrei & Sebastián Edwards & Ricardo Hausma, 1997. "Pathways to Growth: Comparing East Asia and Latin America," IDB Publications (Books), Inter-American Development Bank, number 65998 edited by Nancy Birdsall & Frederick Jaspersen, February.
    3. Talvi, Ernesto & Serra, Pablo & Birdsall, Nancy & Pack, Howard & Solimano, Andrés & Stallings, Barbara & Gavin, Michael & Sabot, Richard H. & Lustig, Nora & Petrei, Humberto & Edwards, Sebastián & Hau, 1997. "Pathways to Growth: Comparing East Asia and Latin America," IDB Publications (Books), Inter-American Development Bank, number 377, May.
    4. de Brouwer,Gordon, 1999. "Financial Integration in East Asia," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521651486.
    5. Gavin Peebles & Peter Wilson, 1996. "The Singapore Economy," Books, Edward Elgar Publishing, number 871.
    6. Norman Loayza & Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel & Luis Servén, 2000. "What Drives Private Saving Across the World?," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 82(2), pages 165-181, May.
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