IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/wly/jnlaaa/v2014y2014i1n875474.html

Estimation of Hospital Potential Capacity and Basic Reproduction Number

Author

Listed:
  • Fei Wang
  • Linhua Wang
  • Peng Wang

Abstract

In order to reflect the population covered by institutional medical services, the concept of hospital potential capacity is proposed and a formula for its estimation is developed based on a population dynamic model. Using the collected data on hospital outpatient and inpatient services and the demographical information on Chongqing as an example, the demand for medical resource allocation in Chongqing is dynamically estimated. Moreover, the proposed formula is also useful in the estimation of the basic reproduction number in epidemiology. The results can be contributed to the improvement of decision‐making in the allocation of medical resources and the evaluation of the interventions and control efforts of the infectious disease.

Suggested Citation

  • Fei Wang & Linhua Wang & Peng Wang, 2014. "Estimation of Hospital Potential Capacity and Basic Reproduction Number," Abstract and Applied Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 2014(1).
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:jnlaaa:v:2014:y:2014:i:1:n:875474
    DOI: 10.1155/2014/875474
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doi.org/10.1155/2014/875474
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1155/2014/875474?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. P R Harper & A K Shahani, 2002. "Modelling for the planning and management of bed capacities in hospitals," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 53(1), pages 11-18, January.
    2. Neil M. Ferguson & Derek A. T. Cummings & Christophe Fraser & James C. Cajka & Philip C. Cooley & Donald S. Burke, 2006. "Strategies for mitigating an influenza pandemic," Nature, Nature, vol. 442(7101), pages 448-452, July.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Catalina Amuedo-Dorantes & Neeraj Kaushal & Ashley N. Muchow, 2021. "Timing of social distancing policies and COVID-19 mortality: county-level evidence from the U.S," Journal of Population Economics, Springer;European Society for Population Economics, vol. 34(4), pages 1445-1472, October.
    2. Bos, Hayo & Baas, Stef & Boucherie, Richard J. & Hans, Erwin W. & Leeftink, Gréanne, 2025. "Bed census prediction combining expert opinion and patient statistics," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    3. Susan M. Rogers & James Rineer & Matthew D. Scruggs & William D. Wheaton & Phillip C. Cooley & Douglas J. Roberts & Diane K. Wagener, 2014. "A Geospatial Dynamic Microsimulation Model for Household Population Projections," International Journal of Microsimulation, International Microsimulation Association, vol. 7(2), pages 119-146.
    4. Victor W. Chu & Raymond K. Wong & Chi-Hung Chi & Wei Zhou & Ivan Ho, 2017. "The design of a cloud-based tracker platform based on system-of-systems service architecture," Information Systems Frontiers, Springer, vol. 19(6), pages 1283-1299, December.
    5. Khan, Hasib & Ibrahim, Muhammad & Abdel-Aty, Abdel-Haleem & Khashan, M. Motawi & Khan, Farhat Ali & Khan, Aziz, 2021. "A fractional order Covid-19 epidemic model with Mittag-Leffler kernel," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 148(C).
    6. P R Harper & S Phillips & J E Gallagher, 2005. "Geographical simulation modelling for the regional planning of oral and maxillofacial surgery across London," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 56(2), pages 134-143, February.
    7. Wouter Vermeer & Otto Koppius & Peter Vervest, 2018. "The Radiation-Transmission-Reception (RTR) model of propagation: Implications for the effectiveness of network interventions," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 13(12), pages 1-21, December.
    8. Phillip Stroud & Sara Del Valle & Stephen Sydoriak & Jane Riese & Susan Mniszewski, 2007. "Spatial Dynamics of Pandemic Influenza in a Massive Artificial Society," Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, vol. 10(4), pages 1-9.
    9. Fanwen Meng & Jin Qi & Meilin Zhang & James Ang & Singfat Chu & Melvyn Sim, 2015. "A Robust Optimization Model for Managing Elective Admission in a Public Hospital," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 63(6), pages 1452-1467, December.
    10. Caixia Wang & Huijie Li, 2022. "Public Compliance Matters in Evidence-Based Public Health Policy: Evidence from Evaluating Social Distancing in the First Wave of COVID-19," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(7), pages 1-13, March.
    11. Robben, Jens & Barigou, Karim & Kleinow, Torsten, 2025. "Granular mortality modeling with temperature and epidemic shocks: a three-state regime-switching approach," LIDAM Discussion Papers ISBA 2025006, Université catholique de Louvain, Institute of Statistics, Biostatistics and Actuarial Sciences (ISBA).
    12. Shen, Lucas, 2025. "Illegal immigration and infections: Evidence from two modern pandemics," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 145(C).
    13. Krista Ruffini & Aaron Sojourner & Abigail Wozniak, 2021. "Who'S In And Who'S Out Under Workplace Covid Symptom Screening?," Journal of Policy Analysis and Management, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(2), pages 614-641, March.
    14. Philipp Ager & Katherine Eriksson & Ezra Karger & Peter Nencka & Melissa A. Thomasson, 2024. "School Closures during the 1918 Flu Pandemic," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 106(1), pages 266-276, January.
    15. Yariv Marmor & Thomas Rohleder & David Cook & Todd Huschka & Jeffrey Thompson, 2013. "Recovery bed planning in cardiovascular surgery: a simulation case study," Health Care Management Science, Springer, vol. 16(4), pages 314-327, December.
    16. repec:plo:pone00:0243699 is not listed on IDEAS
    17. repec:plo:pone00:0128070 is not listed on IDEAS
    18. Jérôme Adda, 2016. "Economic Activity and the Spread of Viral Diseases: Evidence from High Frequency Data," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 131(2), pages 891-941.
    19. Peter Caley & Niels G Becker & David J Philp, 2007. "The Waiting Time for Inter-Country Spread of Pandemic Influenza," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 2(1), pages 1-8, January.
    20. repec:plo:pone00:0001519 is not listed on IDEAS
    21. Brotherhood, Luiz & Jerbashian, Vahagn, 2023. "Firm behavior during an epidemic," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 147(C).
    22. Eva K. Lee & Ferdinand Pietz & Bernard Benecke & Jacquelyn Mason & Greg Burel, 2013. "Advancing Public Health and Medical Preparedness with Operations Research," Interfaces, INFORMS, vol. 43(1), pages 79-98, February.
    23. repec:plo:pone00:0024706 is not listed on IDEAS
    24. Han, Dun & Li, Yuling & Wang, Juquan & Ke, Jia, 2025. "On epidemic spread in a multiplex-metapopulation-like network with coupled negative and positive information interaction," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 195(C).

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:wly:jnlaaa:v:2014:y:2014:i:1:n:875474. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Wiley Content Delivery (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/journal/4058 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.