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The Relationship Between Oil Prices and Stock Prices of the European Renewable Energy Companies: A Vector Autoregressive Analysis

Author

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  • Slatina Enis

    (1 MA Student, University of Sarajevo, School of Economics and Business, Trg oslobodjenja 1, 71000, Sarajevo, BiH)

  • Lazović-Pita Lejla
  • Abdić Ademir
  • Abdić Adem

    (2 University of Sarajevo, School of Economics and Business, Trg oslobodjenja 1, 71000, Sarajevo, BiH)

Abstract

This article aims to examine the potential relationship between Brent crude oil futures prices and the index of the European renewable energy companies. After the overview of the European legislation and the most recent literature review on the topic, the article deploys a method of the Vector Autoregressive Model (VAR). The analysis includes weekly data over eight years (2015-2022). Our results indicate a positive correlation between Brent crude oil futures prices and the value of the European Renewable Energy Total Return (ERIX) index. The estimated bivariate VAR model indicates a statistically significant relationship, meaning that past values of the ERIX Index may be used to predict future Brent crude oil prices in the long run. Considering the most recent systemic disturbance in the world’s commodity market, future research should consider longer time series and possible relationships of other macroeconomic factors.

Suggested Citation

  • Slatina Enis & Lazović-Pita Lejla & Abdić Ademir & Abdić Adem, 2023. "The Relationship Between Oil Prices and Stock Prices of the European Renewable Energy Companies: A Vector Autoregressive Analysis," Naše gospodarstvo/Our economy, Sciendo, vol. 69(4), pages 1-11, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:vrs:ngooec:v:69:y:2023:i:4:p:1-11:n:2
    DOI: 10.2478/ngoe-2023-0019
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Broadstock, David C. & Cao, Hong & Zhang, Dayong, 2012. "Oil shocks and their impact on energy related stocks in China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(6), pages 1888-1895.
    2. Murad A. BEIN & Mehmet AGA, 2016. "On the Linkage between the International Crude Oil Price and Stock Markets: Evidence from the Nordic and Other European Oil Importing and Oil Exporting Countries," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(4), pages 115-134, December.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Renewable energy; Brent crude oil; Futures prices; ERIX index; VAR;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • Q42 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Alternative Energy Sources
    • Q43 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Energy and the Macroeconomy
    • Q48 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Government Policy

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