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Oil Sector Revenues and the Marginal Propensity to Import: A Focus on Oil-Exporting African Countries

Author

Listed:
  • Innocent Chile NZEH
  • Hycenth Oguejiofoalu Richard OGWURU
  • David Ogomegbunam OKOLIE
  • Jonathan Ibekwe OKOLIE

    (Renaissance University
    Novena University
    Renaissance University
    Enugu State University of Science and Technology)

Abstract

Countries that possess abundant natural resources are often criticized for spending a larger portion of their revenue from selling those resources on imports, as their economies tend to lack diversification. This study aims to examine whether this claim is valid for oil-rich African countries. The paper uses the panel ARDL method to investigate the effect of oil sector revenues on the marginal propensity to import in oil-exporting African countries from 2000-2020. The findings show that in the short run, oil sector revenues do not have a significant impact on the marginal propensity to import. However, in the long run, oil sector revenues have a positive and significant effect on the marginal propensity to import. Additionally, the study reveals that exchange rates have a positive and significant impact on the marginal propensity to import, while the impact of trade openness is negative and significant. Furthermore, gross domestic savings have a negative and significant effect on the marginal propensity to import during the same period. Therefore, the study concludes that increasing oil revenues in the selected countries only resulted in a rise in imports in the long run. It suggests that oil-exporting African countries should save more during periods of rising oil prices as a buffer, and channel these savings towards building facilities that encourage economic growth. It also recommends that exchange rate policies should be used to discourage excessive importation during periods of rising oil prices.

Suggested Citation

  • Innocent Chile NZEH & Hycenth Oguejiofoalu Richard OGWURU & David Ogomegbunam OKOLIE & Jonathan Ibekwe OKOLIE, 2022. "Oil Sector Revenues and the Marginal Propensity to Import: A Focus on Oil-Exporting African Countries," Journal of Economics and Financial Analysis, Tripal Publishing House, vol. 6(2), pages 85-98.
    • Handle: RePEc:trp:01jefa:jefa0060
    DOI: 10.1991/jefa.v6i2.a56
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Victoriia Alekhina & Naoyuki Yoshino, 2018. "Impact of World Oil Prices on an Energy Exporting Economy Including Monetary Policy," ADBI Working Papers 828, Asian Development Bank Institute.
    2. Hamdi, Helmi & Sbia, Rashid, 2013. "Dynamic relationships between oil revenues, government spending and economic growth in an oil-dependent economy," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 118-125.
    3. D. O. Olayungbo & Chisom Umechukwu, 2022. "Asymmetric oil price shocks and the economies of selected oil-exporting African countries: a global VAR approach," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 55(4), pages 2137-2170, November.
    4. Taghizadeh-Hesary, Farhad & Yoshino, Naoyuki & Rasoulinezhad, Ehsan & Chang, Youngho, 2019. "Trade linkages and transmission of oil price fluctuations," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    5. Karunanithi Kriskkumar & Niaz Ahmad Mohd Naseem & Wan Ngah Wan Azman-Saini, 2022. "Investigating the Asymmetric Effect of Oil Price on the Economic Growth in Malaysia: Applying Augmented ARDL and Nonlinear ARDL Techniques," SAGE Open, , vol. 12(1), pages 21582440221, March.
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    Cited by:

    1. Nzeh Innocent Chile & Okoli Uju Victoria & Okolie David Ogomegbunam & Okolie Jonathan Ibekwe, 2024. "Marginal propensity to import and terms of trade: Panel granger causality evidence from the East African Community (EAC)," Economic and Regional Studies / Studia Ekonomiczne i Regionalne, Sciendo, vol. 17(2), pages 251-269.

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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • C33 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • O24 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Development Planning and Policy - - - Trade Policy; Factor Movement; Foreign Exchange Policy

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