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The Effect of Exchange Rate on Exports and Imports: The Case of Jordan

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  • Osama D. Sweidan

Abstract

This article aims at exploring the effect of exchange rate on exports and imports in Jordan over the 1976--2009 period. In addition, it tests if Jordan's workers' remittances create an effect, equivalent to "the Dutch disease effect," on Jordan's exports competitiveness, and it computes Marshall-Lerner condition to check the foreign exchange market stability. We employ the bounds testing approach to cointegration and the error correction model. We find that Jordan's competitiveness has a trend of deterioration. The influence of Jordan's exchange rate on exports and imports is active in the short-run only. Additionally, Jordan's workers' remittances have an impact similar to "the Dutch disease effect" via increasing the cost of living, thus reducing exports competitiveness. Also, Marshall-Lerner condition is less than one; the foreign exchange market will be unstable if exchange rate policy devaluation is adopted. The policy implication of the article is against adopting a devaluation policy in Jordan.

Suggested Citation

  • Osama D. Sweidan, 2013. "The Effect of Exchange Rate on Exports and Imports: The Case of Jordan," The International Trade Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 27(2), pages 156-172, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:uitjxx:v:27:y:2013:i:2:p:156-172
    DOI: 10.1080/08853908.2013.738515
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Beine, Michel & Bos, Charles S. & Coulombe, Serge, 2012. "Does the Canadian economy suffer from Dutch disease?," Resource and Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(4), pages 468-492.
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    1. Ranajoy Bhattacharyya & Bipradas Rit, 2018. "On the Relationship between the Nominal Exchange Rate and Export Demand in India," South Asian Journal of Macroeconomics and Public Finance, , vol. 7(2), pages 260-282, December.
    2. Tamer Rawashdeh & Mahmoud Al-Rdaydeh & Basem Hamouri, 2020. "The Effect of International Currency Crises on the Balance of Payments: Evidence From Jordan," International Journal of Financial Research, International Journal of Financial Research, Sciedu Press, vol. 11(5), pages 275-284, October.
    3. Kemal Soyer & Hale Ozgit & Husam Rjoub, 2020. "Applying an Evolutionary Growth Theory for Sustainable Economic Development: The Effect of International Students as Tourists," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(1), pages 1-20, January.
    4. Bilal KARGI, 2014. "Time Series Analysis about the Relationship between Foreign Trade and Exchange Rate in Turkish Economy," Timisoara Journal of Economics and Business, West University of Timisoara, Romania, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, vol. 7(2), pages 123-133, December.
    5. Sweidan Osama D., 2013. "Exchange Rate Pass-Through into Import Prices in Jordan," Global Economy Journal, De Gruyter, vol. 13(1), pages 109-128, January.
    6. Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee & Esmaeil Ebadi, 2016. "Have Technological Advances Reduced Response Time of Trade Flows to Changes in the Exchange Rate and Relative Prices?," The International Trade Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(2), pages 115-131, March.
    7. Pasrun Adam & Pasrun Adam & Rosnawintang Rosnawintang & Ambo Wonua Nusantara & Abd Aziz Muthalib, 2017. "A Model of the Dynamic of the Relationship between Exchange Rate and Indonesia's Export," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 7(1), pages 255-261.

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