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Structural transitions and energy use: a decomposition analysis of Portugal 1995--2010

Author

Listed:
  • Zeus Guevara
  • João F. D. Rodrigues

Abstract

The Portuguese energy sector changed substantially during the period 1995--2010, with the introduction of natural gas and a larger renewable energy production. During the same period, the country also continued the shift to a service economy. By 2005, these two transitions led to a large increase in primary energy use (PEU), followed by a significant decline until 2010. The goal of this paper is to identify the main driving factors of changes in the Portuguese PEU through structural decomposition analysis. To do so we build a novel hybrid model with a detailed description of the energy sector in physical units, and a coarser description of the rest of the economy in monetary units. The results show that the main drivers were final demand (increasing PEU) and the direct energy intensity (decreasing PEU); while the energy and economic transitions also contributed to decrease PEU, although to a lesser extent.

Suggested Citation

  • Zeus Guevara & João F. D. Rodrigues, 2016. "Structural transitions and energy use: a decomposition analysis of Portugal 1995--2010," Economic Systems Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(2), pages 202-223, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:ecsysr:v:28:y:2016:i:2:p:202-223
    DOI: 10.1080/09535314.2016.1157456
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    Cited by:

    1. Martinho, Vítor João Pereira Domingues, 2021. "Direct and indirect energy consumption in farming: Impacts from fertilizer use," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 236(C).
    2. Guevara, Zeus & Domingos, Tiago, 2017. "The multi-factor energy input–output model," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 261-269.
    3. Carfora, Alfonso & Pansini, Rosaria Vega & Scandurra, Giuseppe, 2022. "Energy dependence, renewable energy generation and import demand: Are EU countries resilient?," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 195(C), pages 1262-1274.
    4. Huang, Rui & Chen, Guangwu & Lv, Guonian & Malik, Arunima & Shi, Xunpeng & Xie, Xiaotian, 2020. "The effect of technology spillover on CO2 emissions embodied in China-Australia trade," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
    5. Zeus Guevara & Oscar Córdoba & Edith X. M. García & Rafael Bouchain, 2017. "The Status and Evolution of Energy Supply and Use in Mexico Prior to the 2014 Energy Reform: An Input-Output Approach †," Economies, MDPI, vol. 5(1), pages 1-17, March.
    6. Guevara, Zeus & Domingos, Tiago, 2017. "Three-level decoupling of energy use in Portugal 1995–2010," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 108(C), pages 134-142.
    7. Aramendia, Emmanuel & Heun, Matthew K. & Brockway, Paul E. & Taylor, Peter G., 2022. "Developing a Multi-Regional Physical Supply Use Table framework to improve the accuracy and reliability of energy analysis," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 310(C).
    8. Azlina Abdullah & Hussain Ali Bekhet, 2019. "Investigating the Driving Forces of Energy Intensity Change in Malaysia 1991-2010: A Structural Decomposition Analysis," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 9(4), pages 121-130.
    9. Yan, Junna & Su, Bin, 2020. "What drive the changes in China's energy consumption and intensity during 12th Five-Year Plan period?," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
    10. Román-Collado, Rocío & Colinet, Maria José, 2018. "Is energy efficiency a driver or an inhibitor of energy consumption changes in Spain? Two decomposition approaches," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 115(C), pages 409-417.
    11. Guevara, Zeus & Henriques, SofiaTeives & Sousa, Tânia, 2021. "Driving factors of differences in primary energy intensities of 14 European countries," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
    12. Heun, Matthew Kuperus & Owen, Anne & Brockway, Paul E., 2018. "A physical supply-use table framework for energy analysis on the energy conversion chain," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 226(C), pages 1134-1162.
    13. Guevara, Zeus & Sebastian, Antonio & Carranza Dumon, Fabian, 2022. "Economy-wide impact of conventional development policies in oil-exporting developing countries: The case of Mexico," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 161(C).
    14. Rocco, Matteo V. & Guevara, Zeus & Heun, Matthew Kuperus, 2020. "Assessing energy and economic impacts of large-scale policy shocks based on Input-Output analysis: Application to Brexit," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 274(C).
    15. Croner, Daniel & Koller, Wolfgang & Mahlberg, Bernhard, 2018. "Economic drivers of greenhouse gas-emissions in small open economies: A hierarchical structural decomposition analysis," MPRA Paper 85755, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    16. Bagheri, Mehdi & Guevara, Zeus & Alikarami, Mohammad & Kennedy, Christopher A. & Doluweera, Ganesh, 2018. "Green growth planning: A multi-factor energy input-output analysis of the Canadian economy," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 708-720.
    17. repec:eco:journ2:2017-04-31 is not listed on IDEAS
    18. Yuan, Rong & Rodrigues, João F.D. & Tukker, Arnold & Behrens, Paul, 2018. "The impact of the expansion in non-fossil electricity infrastructure on China’s carbon emissions," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 228(C), pages 1994-2008.
    19. Huang, Junbing & Du, Dan & Hao, Yu, 2017. "The driving forces of the change in China's energy intensity: An empirical research using DEA-Malmquist and spatial panel estimations," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 41-50.

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