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Causality in demand: a co-integrated demand system for trout in Germany

Author

Listed:
  • Max Nielsen
  • Frank Jensen
  • Jari Setala
  • Jarno Virtanen

Abstract

This article focuses on causality in demand. A methodology where causality is imposed and tested within an empirical co-integrated demand model, not prespecified, is suggested. The methodology allows different causality of different products within the same demand system. The methodology is applied to fish demand. On the German market for farmed trout and substitutes, it is found that supply sources, i.e. aquaculture and fishery, are not the only determinant of causality. Storing, tightness of management and aggregation level of integrated markets might also be important. The methodological implication is that more explicit focus on causality in demand analyses provides improved information. The results suggest that frozen trout forms part of a large European whitefish market, where prices of fresh trout are formed on a relatively separate market. Redfish is a substitute on both markets. The policy implication is that increased production of trout causes a downward pressure on fresh trout prices, but frozen trout prices remain relatively unaffected.

Suggested Citation

  • Max Nielsen & Frank Jensen & Jari Setala & Jarno Virtanen, 2009. "Causality in demand: a co-integrated demand system for trout in Germany," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 43(7), pages 797-809.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2009:i:7:p:797-809
    DOI: 10.1080/00036840802600038
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Juselius, Katarina, 2006. "The Cointegrated VAR Model: Methodology and Applications," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780199285679, Decembrie.
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    Cited by:

    1. Luca Mulazzani & Rosa Manrique & Giovanna Trevisan & Giulio Malorgio, 2015. "Fish market integration and demand analysis: a Mediterranean case study," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 46(1), pages 39-52, January.
    2. Dengjun Zhang, 2015. "The trade effect of price risk: a system-wide approach," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 48(3), pages 1149-1167, May.
    3. Ankamah-Yeboah Isaac & Max Nielsen & Rasmus Nielsen, 2015. "Organic Salmon – Considered a Fisheries or Agricultural Product Among Consumers?," 2015 EAFE (European Association of Fisheries Economists) Conference Papers 003, Nisea.
    4. Rasmus Nielsen & Jesper Levring Andersen & Peter Bogetoft, 2014. "Dynamic Reallocation of Marketable Nitrogen Emission Permits in Danish Freshwater Aquaculture," Marine Resource Economics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 29(3), pages 219-239.
    5. Julia Bronnmann & Isaac Ankamah-Yeboah & Max Nielsen, 2016. "Market Integration between Farmed and Wild Fish: Evidence from the Whitefish Market in Germany," Marine Resource Economics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 31(4), pages 421-432.
    6. Eriko Hoshino & Caleb Gardner & Sarah Jennings & Klaas Hartmann, 2015. "Examining the Long-Run Relationship between the Prices of Imported Abalone in Japan," Marine Resource Economics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 30(2), pages 179-192.
    7. Ankamah-Yeboah, Isaac & Nielsen, Max & Nielsen, Rasmus, 2016. "Price premium of organic salmon in Danish retail sale," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 122(C), pages 54-60.

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