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On innovative activity over the business cycle: a note

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  • Alan Collins
  • Shujie Yao

Abstract

In a recent article, Geroski and Walters (Economic Journal, 105, 1995, 916-928) suggest that changes in demand Granger cause changes in innovative activity but not vice versa. This note shows that inappropriate modelling methods can lead to such conclusions which exclude the possibility of two-way causality between production and innovation. It suggests that applied economists must test data validity before any meaningful econometric analyses are conducted.

Suggested Citation

  • Alan Collins & Shujie Yao, 1998. "On innovative activity over the business cycle: a note," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 5(12), pages 785-788.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:12:p:785-788
    DOI: 10.1080/135048598354032
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Engle, Robert & Granger, Clive, 2015. "Co-integration and error correction: Representation, estimation, and testing," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 39(3), pages 106-135.
    2. Johansen, Soren, 1988. "Statistical analysis of cointegration vectors," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 12(2-3), pages 231-254.
    3. Geroski, P A & Walters, C F, 1995. "Innovative Activity over the Business Cycle," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 105(431), pages 916-928, July.
    4. Johansen, Søren & Juselius, Katarina, 1992. "Testing structural hypotheses in a multivariate cointegration analysis of the PPP and the UIP for UK," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 53(1-3), pages 211-244.
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    Cited by:

    1. Courvisanos, Jerry, 2000. "The Dynamics of Innovation and Investment, with application to Australia 1984 - 1998," Research Memorandum 003, Maastricht University, Maastricht Economic Research Institute on Innovation and Technology (MERIT).

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