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The market reaction to changes in the Brazilian official interest rate

Author

Listed:
  • Anna Buchholz
  • Cesar Cupertino
  • Roberto Meurer
  • Andre Portela Santos
  • Newton Da Costa

Abstract

This study is aimed at investigating the effects of monetary policymaking on the short-term and long-term interest rates for the Brazilian economy for the period August 1999 to March 2011. It is shown that the reversal of the current account deficit and the alleviation of political uncertainties in 2003 affect the impact of monetary policy on market interest rates. In particular, it is observed that surprises in policymaking are substantially reduced after the macroeconomic and political stability.

Suggested Citation

  • Anna Buchholz & Cesar Cupertino & Roberto Meurer & Andre Portela Santos & Newton Da Costa, 2012. "The market reaction to changes in the Brazilian official interest rate," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(14), pages 1359-1364, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:14:p:1359-1364
    DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.629975
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Hardy, Daniel C., 1996. "Market reaction to changes in German official interest rates," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 1996,04, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    2. Tabak, Benjamin Miranda, 2004. "A note on the effects of monetary policy surprises on the Brazilian term structure of interest rates," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 26(3), pages 283-287, April.
    3. Rodrigo Sekkel & Denisard Alves, 2010. "The economic determinants of the Brazilian nominal term structure of interest rates," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 42(1), pages 1-10.
    4. Balduzzi, Pierluigi, et al, 1998. "Interest Rate Targeting and the Dynamics of Short-Term Rates," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 30(1), pages 26-50, February.
    5. Vladimir Kuhl Teles & Maria Carolina Leme, 2010. "Fundamentals or market sentiment: what causes country risk?," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 42(20), pages 2577-2585.
    6. Alex Luiz Ferreira, 2010. "The determinants of default risk in Brazil," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(17), pages 1703-1708.
    7. Andrews, Donald W K, 1993. "Tests for Parameter Instability and Structural Change with Unknown Change Point," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 61(4), pages 821-856, July.
    8. Cook, Timothy & Hahn, Thomas, 1989. "The effect of changes in the federal funds rate target on market interest rates in the 1970s," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 24(3), pages 331-351, November.
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    Cited by:

    1. João Caldeira & Guilherme Moura & André A.P. Santos, 2012. "Portfolio optimization using a parsimonious multivariate GARCH model: application to the Brazilian stock market," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 32(3), pages 1848-1857.

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