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Simulating Future Groundwater Recharge in Coastal and Inland Catchments

Author

Listed:
  • Gianluigi Busico

    (Aristotle University of Thessaloniki
    University of Campania “Luigi Vanvitelli”)

  • Maria Margarita Ntona

    (Aristotle University of Thessaloniki
    University of Campania “Luigi Vanvitelli”)

  • Sílvia C. P. Carvalho

    (University of Lisbon)

  • Olga Patrikaki

    (Decentralized Administration of Macedonia-Thrace)

  • Konstantinos Voudouris

    (Aristotle University of Thessaloniki)

  • Nerantzis Kazakis

    (Aristotle University of Thessaloniki)

Abstract

Groundwater is a primary source of drinking water in the Mediterranean, however, climate variability in conjunction with mismanagement renders it vulnerable to depletion. Spatiotemporal studies of groundwater recharge are the basis to develop strategies against this phenomenon. In this study, groundwater recharge was spatiotemporally quantified using the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) in one coastal and one inland hydrological basin in Greece. A double calibration/validation (CV) procedure using streamflow data and MODIS ET was conducted for the inland basin of Mouriki, whereas only ET values were used in the coastal basin of Anthemountas. Calibration and simulation recharge were accurate in both sites according to statistical indicators and previous studies. In Mouriki basin, mean recharge and runoff were estimated as 16% and 9%, respectively. In Anthemountas basin recharge to the shallow aquifer and surface runoff were estimated as 12% and 16%, respectively. According to the predicted RCP 4.5 and 8.5 scenarios, significant variations in groundwater recharge are predicted in the coastal zone for the period 2020–2040 with average annual recharges decreasing by 30% (RCP 4.5) and 25% (RCP 8.5). Variations in groundwater recharge in the inland catchment of Mouriki were insignificant for the simulated period. Anthemountas basin was characterized by higher runoff rates. Groundwater management in coastal aquifers should include detailed monitoring of hydrological parameters, reinforced groundwater recharge during winter and reduced groundwater abstraction during summer depending on the spatiotemporal distribution of groundwater recharge.

Suggested Citation

  • Gianluigi Busico & Maria Margarita Ntona & Sílvia C. P. Carvalho & Olga Patrikaki & Konstantinos Voudouris & Nerantzis Kazakis, 2021. "Simulating Future Groundwater Recharge in Coastal and Inland Catchments," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 35(11), pages 3617-3632, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:35:y:2021:i:11:d:10.1007_s11269-021-02907-2
    DOI: 10.1007/s11269-021-02907-2
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Claudia Carvalho-Santos & António T. Monteiro & João C. Azevedo & João Pradinho Honrado & João Pedro Nunes, 2017. "Climate Change Impacts on Water Resources and Reservoir Management: Uncertainty and Adaptation for a Mountain Catchment in Northeast Portugal," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 31(11), pages 3355-3370, September.
    2. Prem B. Parajuli & Priyantha Jayakody & Ying Ouyang, 2018. "Evaluation of Using Remote Sensing Evapotranspiration Data in SWAT," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 32(3), pages 985-996, February.
    3. Gianluigi Busico & Elisabetta Giuditta & Nerantzis Kazakis & Nicolò Colombani, 2019. "A Hybrid GIS and AHP Approach for Modelling Actual and Future Forest Fire Risk Under Climate Change Accounting Water Resources Attenuation Role," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(24), pages 1-20, December.
    4. Chantal Donnelly & Wouter Greuell & Jafet Andersson & Dieter Gerten & Giovanna Pisacane & Philippe Roudier & Fulco Ludwig, 2017. "Erratum to: Impacts of climate change on European hydrology at 1.5, 2 and 3 degrees mean global warming above preindustrial level," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 143(3), pages 535-535, August.
    5. Richard G. Taylor & Bridget Scanlon & Petra Döll & Matt Rodell & Rens van Beek & Yoshihide Wada & Laurent Longuevergne & Marc Leblanc & James S. Famiglietti & Mike Edmunds & Leonard Konikow & Timothy , 2013. "Ground water and climate change," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 3(4), pages 322-329, April.
    6. Chantal Donnelly & Wouter Greuell & Jafet Andersson & Dieter Gerten & Giovanna Pisacane & Philippe Roudier & Fulco Ludwig, 2017. "Impacts of climate change on European hydrology at 1.5, 2 and 3 degrees mean global warming above preindustrial level," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 143(1), pages 13-26, July.
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    Cited by:

    1. Aikaterini Lyra & Athanasios Loukas, 2023. "Simulation and Evaluation of Water Resources Management Scenarios Under Climate Change for Adaptive Management of Coastal Agricultural Watersheds," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 37(6), pages 2625-2642, May.
    2. Nagarajan Shanmugavel & Rema Rajendran, 2022. "Adoption of Rainwater Harvesting: a Dual-factor Approach by Integrating Theory of Planned Behaviour and Norm Activation Model," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 36(8), pages 2827-2845, June.

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