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Reservoir Inflow Synchronization Analysis for Four Reservoirs on a Mainstream and its Tributaries in Flood Season Based on a Multivariate Copula Model

Author

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  • Wu Zening

    (Zhengzhou University)

  • He Chentao

    (Zhengzhou University)

  • Huiliang Wang

    (Zhengzhou University)

  • Qian Zhang

    (Zhengzhou University)

Abstract

To meet flood control demand, many reservoirs have been built successively in China for many years. Reservoir inflow synchronization analysis for multiple reservoirs in the flood season can provide a reference for the formulation of the joint water supply operation plan and improve the utilization efficiency of water resources. In this paper, a two-dimensional copula model is used to analyze the reservoir inflow synchronization between a single reservoir on a tributary and the reservoir on the mainstream of the river in the flood season. Based on the obtained results, a R-vine copula model is established by selecting a suitable structure to analyze the multidimensional joint reservoir inflow synchronization for multiple reservoirs in the middle and lower reaches of the Yellow River basin in the flood season. For four selected reservoirs in the middle and lower reaches of the Yellow River basin in China as a case study, the frequencies of synchronous wetness and synchronous dryness for the four reservoirs are 15.106% and 15.209%, respectively. The research results can serve as a reference for actual scheduling.

Suggested Citation

  • Wu Zening & He Chentao & Huiliang Wang & Qian Zhang, 2020. "Reservoir Inflow Synchronization Analysis for Four Reservoirs on a Mainstream and its Tributaries in Flood Season Based on a Multivariate Copula Model," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 34(9), pages 2753-2770, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:34:y:2020:i:9:d:10.1007_s11269-020-02572-x
    DOI: 10.1007/s11269-020-02572-x
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Longxia Qian & Yong Zhao & Jianhong Yang & Hanlin Li & Hongrui Wang & ChengZu Bai, 2022. "A New Estimation Method for Copula Parameters for Multivariate Hydrological Frequency Analysis With Small Sample Sizes," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 36(4), pages 1141-1157, March.
    2. Chao Zhang & Changming Ji & Yi Wang & Qian Xiao, 2022. "Flood hydrograph coincidence analysis of the upper Yangtze River and Dongting Lake, China," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 110(2), pages 1339-1360, January.
    3. Chen An & Ming Dou & Jianling Zhang & Guiqiu Li, 2021. "Method for Analyzing Copula-Based Water Shortage Risk in Multisource Water Supply Cities," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 35(14), pages 4877-4894, November.

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