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Soil Water Simulation and Predication Using Stochastic Models Based on LS-SVM for Red Soil Region of China

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Listed:
  • Jianqiang Deng
  • Xiaomin Chen
  • Zhenjie Du
  • Yong Zhang

Abstract

The seasonal drought and the low available soil moisture affect the agricultural production in red soil region, China. Therefore, it is necessary to simulate and predict the dynamic changes of soil water in the field. Presently, dynamic model has been applied to obtain the soil water information. While the simulation accuracy of dynamic model depends on many complicated parameters, which are difficult to obtain. In this study, the various nonlinear Stochastic Model of soil water simulation systems and chaotic time series analysis methods of prediction systems had been set up. In the nonlinear Stochastic Model of soil water simulation systems, the daily soil water content simulated by Least squares support vector machine (LS-SVM) with the meteorological factors had more stabilities and advantages in soil water simulation performance over the Back Propagation Artificial Neural Network (BP-ANN) and Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS). In chaotic time series analysis method of prediction systems, the various signal preprocessing methods including the appropriate de-noising methods and wavelet decomposition methods were applied to preprocess the original chaotic soil water signal. The results of the prediction systems showed that the appropriate de-noising methods and the tendency of wavelet transformation had less effect on the delay time (τ) and embedding dimension (m). The de-noising methods may ignore the detail information of the soil water signal, while the appropriate wavelet transformation to get smaller Maximum Lyapunov Exponent (λ 1 ) of the chaotic soil water signal detail and tendency information can improve the predicting capacity. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 2011

Suggested Citation

  • Jianqiang Deng & Xiaomin Chen & Zhenjie Du & Yong Zhang, 2011. "Soil Water Simulation and Predication Using Stochastic Models Based on LS-SVM for Red Soil Region of China," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 25(11), pages 2823-2836, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:25:y:2011:i:11:p:2823-2836
    DOI: 10.1007/s11269-011-9840-z
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Panigrahi, B. & Panda, Sudhindra N., 2003. "Field test of a soil water balance simulation model," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 58(3), pages 223-240, February.
    2. Cameira, M. R. & Fernando, R. M. & Pereira, L. S., 2003. "Monitoring water and NO3-N in irrigated maize fields in the Sorraia Watershed, Portugal," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 60(3), pages 199-216, May.
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    Cited by:

    1. Hongbo Ling & Hailiang Xu & Jinyi Fu, 2013. "Temporal and Spatial Variation in Regional Climate and its Impact on Runoff in Xinjiang, China," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 27(2), pages 381-399, January.
    2. Qiang Fu & Ye Liu & Tianxiao Li & Dong Liu & Song Cui, 2017. "Analysis of Irrigation Water Use Efficiency Based on the Chaos Features of a Rainfall Time Series," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 31(6), pages 1961-1973, April.

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