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Study of Directions and Associated Costs in Reducing Carbon Emissions in the Electric Power Industry until 2050, Taking Into Account Intersectoral Factors

Author

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  • F. V. Veselov

    (Energy Research Institute, Russian Academy of Sciences)

  • A. A. Khorshev

    (Energy Research Institute, Russian Academy of Sciences)

  • I. V. Erokhina

    (Energy Research Institute, Russian Academy of Sciences)

  • R. O. Alikin

    (Energy Research Institute, Russian Academy of Sciences)

Abstract

— The article examines the specifics of the formation of scenarios for the development of the electric power industry in Russia (including district heating) as an integral part of the scenarios for the decarbonization of the national economy. Technological opportunities for reducing carbon emissions through the development of low-carbon and carbon-free technologies for the production of electricity and heat are considered. The potential impact of the cross-sectoral factor—large-scale electrification, replacement of fossil fuels with electricity—on the volume of electricity consumption is estimated. Using the EPOS energy planning optimization model, various forecasts of the structure of electricity and district heat production up to 2050 are obtained, taking into account options for carbon emission quotas and the development of electric transport. Increases in total capital investments and total energy supply costs are determined, which are necessary for a more intensive growth of generating capacities and a low-carbon transformation of their technological structure while reducing carbon emissions in the electric power industry, taking into account increased demand.

Suggested Citation

  • F. V. Veselov & A. A. Khorshev & I. V. Erokhina & R. O. Alikin, 2023. "Study of Directions and Associated Costs in Reducing Carbon Emissions in the Electric Power Industry until 2050, Taking Into Account Intersectoral Factors," Studies on Russian Economic Development, Springer, vol. 34(6), pages 778-785, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:sorede:v:34:y:2023:i:6:d:10.1134_s1075700723060175
    DOI: 10.1134/S1075700723060175
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Prina, Matteo Giacomo & Manzolini, Giampaolo & Moser, David & Nastasi, Benedetto & Sparber, Wolfram, 2020. "Classification and challenges of bottom-up energy system models - A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 129(C).
    2. Chang, Miguel & Thellufsen, Jakob Zink & Zakeri, Behnam & Pickering, Bryn & Pfenninger, Stefan & Lund, Henrik & Østergaard, Poul Alberg, 2021. "Trends in tools and approaches for modelling the energy transition," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 290(C).
    3. V. V. Semikashev & A. Yu. Kolpakov & A. A. Yakovlev & J.-K. Rostovski, 2022. "Development of the Electric Vehicles Market in Russia as a Necessary Condition for Benefiting from the Global Trend towards Transport Electrification," Studies on Russian Economic Development, Springer, vol. 33(3), pages 274-281, June.
    4. Howells, Mark & Rogner, Holger & Strachan, Neil & Heaps, Charles & Huntington, Hillard & Kypreos, Socrates & Hughes, Alison & Silveira, Semida & DeCarolis, Joe & Bazillian, Morgan & Roehrl, Alexander, 2011. "OSeMOSYS: The Open Source Energy Modeling System: An introduction to its ethos, structure and development," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 39(10), pages 5850-5870, October.
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    Cited by:

    1. S. P. Filippov & F. V. Veselov & A. V. Keiko & A. A. Khorshev, 2023. "Approaches to the Forecast Formation of the Development of the Russian Energy Sector as a Component Part of Scenarios for Decarbonization of the Country’s Economy," Studies on Russian Economic Development, Springer, vol. 34(6), pages 769-777, December.

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