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Conditional versus unconditional persistence of RNOA components: implications for valuation

Author

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  • Eli Amir

    (London Business School)

  • Itay Kama

    (Tel Aviv University)

  • Joshua Livnat

    (New York University)

Abstract

Financial analysis often involves decomposing variables into components, emphasizing the structured hierarchy among ratios. We distinguish between unconditional persistence (a variable’s autocorrelation coefficient), and conditional persistence (the power of a variable’s persistence to explain the persistence of a variable higher in the hierarchy). We argue that a variable’s conditional persistence determines the magnitude of its market reaction, allowing us to predict the relative magnitude of the market reaction to a ratio depending on its hierarchal level in the analysis. We examine the market reaction to the DuPont ratios and find that, while the unconditional persistence of asset turnover (ATO) is larger than that of operating profit margin (OPM), the conditional persistence of OPM is larger than that of ATO. Thus, we predict and find that the market’s reaction to OPM is stronger than that to ATO. We further decompose OPM and ATO into their second-order components and show that the market reaction depends on a component’s conditional persistence.

Suggested Citation

  • Eli Amir & Itay Kama & Joshua Livnat, 2011. "Conditional versus unconditional persistence of RNOA components: implications for valuation," Review of Accounting Studies, Springer, vol. 16(2), pages 302-327, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:reaccs:v:16:y:2011:i:2:d:10.1007_s11142-010-9138-z
    DOI: 10.1007/s11142-010-9138-z
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    Cited by:

    1. Adam Esplin & Max Hewitt & Marlene Plumlee & Teri Lombardi Yohn, 2014. "Disaggregating operating and financial activities: implications for forecasts of profitability," Review of Accounting Studies, Springer, vol. 19(1), pages 328-362, March.
    2. Asher Curtis & Melissa F. Lewis-Western & Sara Toynbee, 2015. "Historical cost measurement and the use of DuPont analysis by market participants," Review of Accounting Studies, Springer, vol. 20(3), pages 1210-1245, September.

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    JEL classification:

    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • M41 - Business Administration and Business Economics; Marketing; Accounting; Personnel Economics - - Accounting - - - Accounting

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