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A methodology to estimate seismic vulnerability of health facilities. Case study: Mexico City, Mexico

Author

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  • Sonia Morán-Rodríguez

    (Instituto de Geofísica, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México)

  • David A. Novelo-Casanova

    (Instituto de Geofísica, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México)

Abstract

We developed a model to estimate seismic vulnerability of health facilities in Mexico City, Mexico, following these steps: (1) designing a theoretical framework (TF) to measure structural, non-structural, functional, and administrative-organizational vulnerabilities; (2) measurement of the vulnerability conditions of the analyzed facility by using the TF; and (3) estimation of the hospital’s seismic vulnerability by comparing the measured vulnerability to the TF’s vulnerability indicators by taking into account the optimal case. The TF was developed considering a scoring system and international standards for risk management in hospitals. The methodology establishes the degree of vulnerability of the analyzed institution as well as its interrelations with external infrastructure systems. This tool also identifies existing failures to estimate expected damage. The methodology was applied to the National Cardiology Hospital, the Children’s Hospital “Dr. Federico Gómez,” and the “Hospital de Jesus” of Mexico City. The vulnerability problems in these three hospitals are common within them, and some of the main causes of vulnerability found are: (1) the lack of technology to resistant seismic shaking; (2) the need to develop or update disaster response plans; (3) the need of periodic and proper maintenance to hospitals’ buildings; (4) the lack of sufficient financial resources for vulnerability reduction projects and autonomous operations of the hospital during 3–5 days after a disaster occurs. We believe that vulnerability in these health facilities can be reduced with low-cost procedures and that the methodology developed here will support the decision-making processes to reduce seismic risk in Mexico City.

Suggested Citation

  • Sonia Morán-Rodríguez & David A. Novelo-Casanova, 2018. "A methodology to estimate seismic vulnerability of health facilities. Case study: Mexico City, Mexico," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 90(3), pages 1349-1375, February.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:90:y:2018:i:3:d:10.1007_s11069-017-3101-2
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-017-3101-2
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Soberon, G. & Frenk, J. & Sepulveda, J., 1986. "The health care reform in Mexico: Before and after the 1985 earthquakes," American Journal of Public Health, American Public Health Association, vol. 76(6), pages 673-680.
    2. Sandi, H. & Pomonis, A. & Francis, S. & Georgescu, E. S. & Mohindra, R. & Borcia, I. S., 2007. "Seismic vulnerability assessment: Methodological elements and applications to the case of Romania," MPRA Paper 25724, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Jörn Birkmann, 2011. "First- and second-order adaptation to natural hazards and extreme events in the context of climate change," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 58(2), pages 811-840, August.
    4. David Novelo-Casanova & Gerardo Suárez, 2015. "Estimation of the Risk Management Index (RMI) using statistical analysis," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 77(3), pages 1501-1514, July.
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