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A GIS-based multi-criteria analysis model for earthquake vulnerability assessment using Choquet integral and game theory

Author

Listed:
  • Milad Moradi

    () (University of Tehran)

  • Mahmoud Reza Delavar

    () (University of Tehran)

  • Behzad Moshiri

    () (University of Tehran)

Abstract

Abstract A GIS-based multi-criteria analysis model using the integration of the Choquet integral and game theory is proposed in this paper for seismic vulnerability assessment (SVA). The proposed SVA model is able to take into account the effects of complementary, redundant, and independent criteria. Moreover, the proposed model provides an insight into experts’ preferences using game theory parameters. The application of the proposed model is demonstrated by assessing the seismic vulnerability of Tehran city. Due to the limited accessibility to data, only nine contributing criteria are specified which are associated with physical, social, and systemic vulnerability. Five experts are asked to determine the seismic vulnerability degree of 100 randomly selected urban statistical units. Particle swarm optimization method is then applied to extract fuzzy measures from information provided by the experts. Game theory is also employed to compute the interactions among the criteria and to evaluate the role of each criterion in the decision-making process. Finally, a vulnerability map is produced based on the knowledge of the consensus of the five experts and the results are validated by comparing with the previous models using Spearman’s correlation coefficient method.

Suggested Citation

  • Milad Moradi & Mahmoud Reza Delavar & Behzad Moshiri, 2017. "A GIS-based multi-criteria analysis model for earthquake vulnerability assessment using Choquet integral and game theory," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 87(3), pages 1377-1398, July.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:87:y:2017:i:3:d:10.1007_s11069-017-2822-6
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-017-2822-6
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Yi Peng, 2015. "Regional earthquake vulnerability assessment using a combination of MCDM methods," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 234(1), pages 95-110, November.
    2. Michel Grabisch & Christophe Labreuche, 2010. "A decade of application of the Choquet and Sugeno integrals in multi-criteria decision aid," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 175(1), pages 247-286, March.
    3. Blake Walker & Cameron Taylor-Noonan & Alan Tabbernor & T’Brenn McKinnon & Harsimran Bal & Dan Bradley & Nadine Schuurman & John Clague, 2014. "A multi-criteria evaluation model of earthquake vulnerability in Victoria, British Columbia," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 74(2), pages 1209-1222, November.
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    Cited by:

    1. Jianghong Zhu & Yanlai Li, 2018. "Green Supplier Selection Based on Consensus Process and Integrating Prioritized Operator and Choquet Integral," Sustainability, MDPI, Open Access Journal, vol. 10(8), pages 1-22, August.
    2. Yasser Ebrahimian Ghajari & Ali Asghar Alesheikh & Mahdi Modiri & Reza Hosnavi & Morteza Abbasi, 2017. "Spatial Modelling of Urban Physical Vulnerability to Explosion Hazards Using GIS and Fuzzy MCDA," Sustainability, MDPI, Open Access Journal, vol. 9(7), pages 1-29, July.

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