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Some considerations between radon and earthquakes in the crater of L’Aquila

Author

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  • Alessandro Attanasio

    (University of L’Aquila)

  • Maurizio Maravalle

    (University of L’Aquila)

Abstract

This paper is focused on developing statistical models to analyze the connection between radon emissions and earthquakes. Owing to our personal interest and the large amount of local data available in the period before and after the main shock, we decided to run our analysis on the recent earthquake which affected the Italian city of L’Aquila. We investigated the viability of a statistical method employing radon emissions to predict earthquakes. The results show a possible connection between radon and earthquake, but it is useless, in our opinion, to use this connection to forecast the magnitude of the seismic events.

Suggested Citation

  • Alessandro Attanasio & Maurizio Maravalle, 2016. "Some considerations between radon and earthquakes in the crater of L’Aquila," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 81(3), pages 1971-1979, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:81:y:2016:i:3:d:10.1007_s11069-016-2169-4
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-016-2169-4
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Alessandro Attanasio & Maurizio Maravalle & Giulia Fioravanti, 2012. "Examining Granger causality between atmospheric parameters and radon," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 62(2), pages 723-731, June.
    2. H. Jaishi & S. Singh & R. Tiwari & R. Tiwari, 2014. "Temporal variation of soil radon and thoron concentrations in Mizoram (India), associated with earthquakes," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 72(2), pages 443-454, June.
    3. Granger, C W J, 1969. "Investigating Causal Relations by Econometric Models and Cross-Spectral Methods," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 37(3), pages 424-438, July.
    4. Malte Faber & Ralph Winkler, 2006. "Heterogeneity and Time," American Journal of Economics and Sociology, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 65(3), pages 803-825, July.
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