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Mechanism and comprehensive countermeasure for drought management from the view of catastrophe theory

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  • Xiao-jun Wang
  • Jian-yun Zhang
  • Xue-wei Tong
  • Shahid Shamsuddin
  • Rui-min He
  • Xing-hui Xia

Abstract

Drought is one of the major disasters around the world which cause great social and economic hardship. Recent events of severe droughts have motivated comprehensive research on drought management in China like many other countries of Asia, Europe and Africa. In this paper, the mechanism of drought management has been analyzed in light of water supply and water demand management considering water shortage as an inductor of drought. Catastrophe theory has been proposed to explain transitions through discontinuities and unexpected changes in water system. The study indicates that supply management can increase water supply; however, in long term, it may not be sustainable for drought mitigation. Water demand management, on the other hand, improves water use efficiency with less investment. Therefore, the study emphasizes water demand managements for drought management under future changing scenarios. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 2014

Suggested Citation

  • Xiao-jun Wang & Jian-yun Zhang & Xue-wei Tong & Shahid Shamsuddin & Rui-min He & Xing-hui Xia, 2014. "Mechanism and comprehensive countermeasure for drought management from the view of catastrophe theory," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 71(1), pages 823-835, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:71:y:2014:i:1:p:823-835
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-013-0915-4
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Rosser Jr., J. Barkley, 2007. "The rise and fall of catastrophe theory applications in economics: Was the baby thrown out with the bathwater?," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 31(10), pages 3255-3280, October.
    2. A. Clark, 2006. "Modeling the net flows of U.S. mutual funds with stochastic catastrophe theory," The European Physical Journal B: Condensed Matter and Complex Systems, Springer;EDP Sciences, vol. 50(4), pages 659-669, April.
    3. Dou, Wenyu & Ghose, Sanjoy, 2006. "A dynamic nonlinear model of online retail competition using Cusp Catastrophe Theory," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 59(7), pages 838-848, July.
    4. Shamsuddin Shahid & Houshang Behrawan, 2008. "Drought risk assessment in the western part of Bangladesh," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 46(3), pages 391-413, September.
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    1. Mohamed Salem Nashwan & Shamsuddin Shahid & Eun-Sung Chung & Kamal Ahmed & Young Hoon Song, 2018. "Development of Climate-Based Index for Hydrologic Hazard Susceptibility," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(7), pages 1-20, June.

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