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Vulnerability of population and transportation infrastructure at the east bank of Delaware Bay due to coastal flooding in sea-level rise conditions

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  • Han Tang
  • Steven Chien
  • Marouane Temimi
  • Cheryl Blain
  • Qu Ke
  • Liuhui Zhao
  • Simon Kraatz

Abstract

Catastrophic flooding associated with sea-level rise and change of hurricane patterns has put the northeastern coastal regions of the United States at a greater risk. In this paper, we predict coastal flooding at the east bank of Delaware Bay and analyze the resulting impact on residents and transportation infrastructure. The three-dimensional coastal ocean model FVCOM coupled with a two-dimensional shallow water model is used to simulate hydrodynamic flooding from coastal ocean water with fine-resolution meshes, and a topography-based hydrologic method is applied to estimate inland flooding due to precipitation. The entire flooded areas with a range of storm intensity (i.e., no storm, 10-, and 50-year storm) and sea-level rise (i.e., current, 10-, and 50-year sea level) are thus determined. The populations in the study region in 10 and 50 years are predicted using an economic-demographic model. With the aid of ArcGIS, detailed analysis of affected population and transportation systems including highway networks, railroads, and bridges is presented for all of the flood scenarios. It is concluded that sea-level rise will lead to a substantial increase in vulnerability of residents and transportation infrastructure to storm floods, and such a flood tends to affect more population in Cape May County but more transportation facilities in Cumberland County, New Jersey. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 2013

Suggested Citation

  • Han Tang & Steven Chien & Marouane Temimi & Cheryl Blain & Qu Ke & Liuhui Zhao & Simon Kraatz, 2013. "Vulnerability of population and transportation infrastructure at the east bank of Delaware Bay due to coastal flooding in sea-level rise conditions," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 69(1), pages 141-163, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:69:y:2013:i:1:p:141-163
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-013-0691-1
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Andrew Condon & Y. Peter Sheng, 2012. "Evaluation of coastal inundation hazard for present and future climates," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 62(2), pages 345-373, June.
    2. Christine Shepard & Vera Agostini & Ben Gilmer & Tashya Allen & Jeff Stone & William Brooks & Michael Beck, 2012. "Assessing future risk: quantifying the effects of sea level rise on storm surge risk for the southern shores of Long Island, New York," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 60(2), pages 727-745, January.
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    1. Tang, H.S. & Qu, K. & Chen, G.Q. & Kraatz, S. & Aboobaker, N. & Jiang, C.B., 2014. "Potential sites for tidal power generation: A thorough search at coast of New Jersey, USA," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 412-425.
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    4. Tang, H.S. & Kraatz, S. & Qu, K. & Chen, G.Q. & Aboobaker, N. & Jiang, C.B., 2014. "High-resolution survey of tidal energy towards power generation and influence of sea-level-rise: A case study at coast of New Jersey, USA," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 960-982.
    5. Xi Hu & Jim W. Hall & Peijun Shi & Wee Lim, 2016. "The spatial exposure of the Chinese infrastructure system to flooding and drought hazards," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 80(2), pages 1083-1118, January.
    6. Xi Hu & Jim W. Hall & Peijun Shi & Wee Ho Lim, 2016. "The spatial exposure of the Chinese infrastructure system to flooding and drought hazards," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 80(2), pages 1083-1118, January.
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