IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/nathaz/v64y2012i1p139-151.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Drought triggers and declarations: science and policy considerations for drought risk management

Author

Listed:
  • Linda Botterill
  • Michael Hayes

Abstract

This paper explores the value of triggers and declarations in the management of drought, bringing together two disciplinary perspectives, those of the public policy scholar and the climate scientist. These two perspectives highlight the complexity of the development and use of triggers in drought risk management by drawing on the experience of the United States, which has the most sophisticated system of drought triggers in the world, and that of Australia that has the most developed and longest standing national drought policy based on principles of risk management. The paper explores the advantages and disadvantages of triggers in managing drought, concluding that triggers are useful risk management tools at the individual level but become problematic and can lead to perverse outcomes when linked to some forms of government support programs. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 2012

Suggested Citation

  • Linda Botterill & Michael Hayes, 2012. "Drought triggers and declarations: science and policy considerations for drought risk management," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 64(1), pages 139-151, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:64:y:2012:i:1:p:139-151
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-012-0231-4
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1007/s11069-012-0231-4
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s11069-012-0231-4?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Productivity Commission, 2009. "Government Drought Support," Inquiry Reports, Productivity Commission, Government of Australia, number 46.
    2. Bruce Chapman & Linda Courtenay Botterill, 2009. "A Revenue Contingent Loan Instrument for Agricultural Credit with Particular Reference to Drought Relief," Australian Journal of Labour Economics (AJLE), Bankwest Curtin Economics Centre (BCEC), Curtin Business School, vol. 12(2), pages 181-196.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Xinyu Fu & Mark Svoboda & Zhenghong Tang & Zhijun Dai & Jianjun Wu, 2013. "An overview of US state drought plans: crisis or risk management?," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 69(3), pages 1607-1627, December.
    2. Jessica Bhardwaj & Yuriy Kuleshov & Andrew B. Watkins & Isabella Aitkenhead & Atifa Asghari, 2021. "Building capacity for a user-centred Integrated Early Warning System (I-EWS) for drought in the Northern Murray-Darling Basin," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 107(1), pages 97-122, May.
    3. J. N. Okpara & K. O. Ogunjobi & E. A. Adefisan, 2022. "Developing objective dry spell and drought triggers for drought monitoring in the Niger Basin of West Africa," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 112(3), pages 2465-2492, July.
    4. Nam, Won-Ho & Hayes, Michael J. & Svoboda, Mark D. & Tadesse, Tsegaye & Wilhite, Donald A., 2015. "Drought hazard assessment in the context of climate change for South Korea," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 160(C), pages 106-117.
    5. Zablon W. Shilenje & Victor Ongoma & Mercy Njagi, 2019. "Applicability of Combined Drought Index in drought analysis over North Eastern Kenya," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 99(1), pages 379-389, October.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Botterill, Linda Courtenay & Chapman, Bruce & Kelly, Simon, 2017. "Revisiting revenue contingent loans for drought relief: government as risk manager," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 61(3), July.
    2. Freebairn, John W., 2010. "Markets, Governments and Agriculture," 2010 Conference (54th), February 10-12, 2010, Adelaide, Australia 59073, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society.
    3. Atifa Asghari & Yuriy Kuleshov & Andrew B. Watkins & Jessica Bhardwaj & Isabella Aitkenhead, 2021. "Improving drought resilience in Northern Murray-Darling Basin farming communities: Is forecast-based financing suitable?," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 109(1), pages 1221-1245, October.
    4. Kenneth G. H. Baldwin & Bruce Chapman & Umbu Raya, 2015. "Using Income Contingent Loans for the Financing of the Next Million Australian Solar Rooftops," CCEP Working Papers 1508, Centre for Climate & Energy Policy, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    5. Robert G. Chambers & Simone Pieralli & Yu Sheng, 2020. "The Millennium Droughts and Australian Agricultural Productivity Performance: A Nonparametric Analysis," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 102(5), pages 1383-1403, October.
    6. Walcott, James J, 2019. "Multiple and sequential land use: A national policy for Australia?," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    7. David A. Fleming‐Muñoz & Stuart Whitten & Graham D. Bonnett, 2023. "The economics of drought: A review of impacts and costs," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 67(4), pages 501-523, October.
    8. Alec Zuo & Sarah Ann Wheeler & Peter Boxall & W. L. (Vic) Adamowicz & Darla Hatton MacDonald, 2015. "Identifying Water Prices at which Australian Farmers Will Exit Irrigation: Results of a Stated Preference Survey," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 91(S1), pages 109-123, June.
    9. W Neil Adger & Jon Barnett, 2009. "Four Reasons for Concern about Adaptation to Climate Change," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 41(12), pages 2800-2805, December.
    10. Kingwell, Ross S. & Xayavong, Vilaphonh, 2017. "How drought affects the financial characteristics of Australian farm businesses," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 61(3), July.
    11. Boyd Hunter & Ben Edwards, 2011. "The impact of drought on carers," Australian Journal of Labour Economics (AJLE), Bankwest Curtin Economics Centre (BCEC), Curtin Business School, vol. 14(2), pages 199-214.
    12. Lin Crase, 2021. "Lessons in Policy Incoherence: A Review of Recent Water Policies, Water Planning and Drought Policy in Australia," Economic Papers, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 40(4), pages 313-330, December.
    13. Lisa Cowan & Geoff Kaine & Victor Wright, 2013. "The Role of Strategic and Tactical Flexibility in Managing Input Variability on Farms," Systems Research and Behavioral Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 30(4), pages 470-494, July.
    14. Boyd Hunter & Matthew Gray & Ben Edwards, 2013. "The Use of Social Surveys to Measure Drought and the Impact of Drought," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 113(1), pages 419-432, August.
    15. Ghahramani, Afshin & Kingwell, Ross S. & Maraseni, Tek Narayan, 2020. "Land use change in Australian mixed crop-livestock systems as a transformative climate change adaptation," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 180(C).
    16. Sarah Ann Wheeler & Alec Zuo, 2017. "The impact of drought and water scarcity on irrigator farm exit intentions in the Murray–Darling Basin," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 61(3), pages 404-421, July.
    17. Adamson, David & Oss-Emer, Max & Quiggin, John, 2011. "Property Rights and Water Buy Back in Australia's Murray-Darling Basin," Risk and Sustainable Management Group Working Papers 149883, University of Queensland, School of Economics.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Drought; Triggers; Policy; Australia; USA;
    All these keywords.

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:64:y:2012:i:1:p:139-151. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.