IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/nathaz/v121y2025i15d10.1007_s11069-025-07476-w.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Pathways to enhanced microscale coastal flood risk assessment amid changing climate

Author

Listed:
  • Avinash Kaur

    (Indian Institute of Technology Roorkee)

  • Harshit Sosan Lakra

    (Indian Institute of Technology Roorkee)

  • Rajib Shaw

    (Keio University)

  • Sameer Ali

    (Indian Institute of Technology Roorkee)

Abstract

The worldwide threat of coastal flood hazard due to sea level rise (SLR) and climate change poses a significant risk to socio-economic assets and coastal communities. Existing gaps in hazard categorisation, exposure assessment and vulnerability analysis suggest critical evaluations for the existing methodologies. Existing coastal flood risk methodologies, particularly at the microscale, require the evaluation of diverse methods to improve the representation of hazards, refining exposure and vulnerability analysis for decision-making and climate adaptation planning. This review elaborates on advancing precise, localised flood risk evaluation methods, integrating diverse datasets, hazard scenarios, and multi-dimensional vulnerability dimensions, thereby enhancing resilience and informed decision-making for coastal communities worldwide. Quantitative analyses were conducted in Excel, and qualitative assessments employed descriptive and narrative methods following PRISMA 2020. Results categorised risk assessment methods using tables and graphical tools like bar and pie charts to highlight trends. Key findings highlight the collection and integration of socioeconomic data, high-resolution digital elevation models (DEM), consideration of local characteristics such as topography and beach slope variations, range of flood parameters, hybrid approach by combining deterministic and probabilistic models, use of both trend extrapolation and scenario prediction techniques, comprehending interactions between storm surges and wave setup, thorough vulnerability assessment with a more balanced emphasis on physical, functional, socioeconomic, and geomorphological factors is needed. In addition to physical vulnerability, social, economic, and environmental vulnerability should also receive more attention. Future directions should strive for enhancing data integration and collecting, applying hybrid modelling approaches, extending the range of flood parameters, and taking local conditions into account. Furthermore, all components of receptors and vulnerability assessment should receive equal attention as they are also significant. Limitations include sparse data in some regions and incomplete consideration of socio-economic and environmental vulnerabilities. The review calls for methodological refinement and interdisciplinary collaboration to improve flood risk frameworks, particularly at the micro-scale.

Suggested Citation

  • Avinash Kaur & Harshit Sosan Lakra & Rajib Shaw & Sameer Ali, 2025. "Pathways to enhanced microscale coastal flood risk assessment amid changing climate," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 121(15), pages 17201-17251, August.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:121:y:2025:i:15:d:10.1007_s11069-025-07476-w
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-025-07476-w
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s11069-025-07476-w
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s11069-025-07476-w?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to

    for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Dominik Paprotny & Paweł Terefenko, 2017. "New estimates of potential impacts of sea level rise and coastal floods in Poland," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 85(2), pages 1249-1277, January.
    2. H. Apel & G. Aronica & H. Kreibich & A. Thieken, 2009. "Flood risk analyses—how detailed do we need to be?," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 49(1), pages 79-98, April.
    3. Scott A. Kulp & Benjamin H. Strauss, 2019. "New elevation data triple estimates of global vulnerability to sea-level rise and coastal flooding," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 10(1), pages 1-12, December.
    4. Diana Carolina Del Angel & David Yoskowitz & Matthew Vernon Bilskie & Scott C. Hagen, 2022. "A Socioeconomic Dataset of the Risk Associated with the 1% and 0.2% Return Period Stillwater Flood Elevation under Sea-Level Rise for the Northern Gulf of Mexico," Data, MDPI, vol. 7(6), pages 1-15, May.
    5. Meri Davlasheridze & Kayode O. Atoba & Samuel Brody & Wesley Highfield & William Merrell & Bruce Ebersole & Adam Purdue & Robert W. Gilmer, 2019. "Economic impacts of storm surge and the cost-benefit analysis of a coastal spine as the surge mitigation strategy in Houston-Galveston area in the USA," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 24(3), pages 329-354, March.
    6. Jonathan D. Woodruff & Jennifer L. Irish & Suzana J. Camargo, 2013. "Coastal flooding by tropical cyclones and sea-level rise," Nature, Nature, vol. 504(7478), pages 44-52, December.
    7. Ryan Paulik & Scott A. Stephens & Robert G. Bell & Sanjay Wadhwa & Ben Popovich, 2020. "National-Scale Built-Environment Exposure to 100-Year Extreme Sea Levels and Sea-Level Rise," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(4), pages 1-16, February.
    8. Paula Freire & Alexandre O. Tavares & Luís Sá & Anabela Oliveira & André B. Fortunato & Pedro P. Santos & Ana Rilo & João L. Gomes & João Rogeiro & Rui Pablo & Pedro J. Pinto, 2016. "A local-scale approach to estuarine flood risk management," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 84(3), pages 1705-1739, December.
    9. Brett F. Sanders & Jochen E. Schubert & Daniel T. Kahl & Katharine J. Mach & David Brady & Amir AghaKouchak & Fonna Forman & Richard A. Matthew & Nicola Ulibarri & Steven J. Davis, 2023. "Large and inequitable flood risks in Los Angeles, California," Nature Sustainability, Nature, vol. 6(1), pages 47-57, January.
    10. Fazilah Hatta Antah & Muhamad Azry Khoiry & Khairul Nizam Abdul Maulud & Ahmad Nazrul Hakimi Ibrahim, 2022. "Factors Influencing the Use of Geospatial Technology with LiDAR for Road Design: Case of Malaysia," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(15), pages 1-19, July.
    11. Paul William Kojo Yankson & Alex Barimah Owusu & George Owusu & John Boakye-Danquah & Jacob Doku Tetteh, 2017. "Assessment of coastal communities’ vulnerability to floods using indicator-based approach: a case study of Greater Accra Metropolitan Area, Ghana," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 89(2), pages 661-689, November.
    12. Xinmeng Shan & Jiahong Wen & Min Zhang & Luyang Wang & Qian Ke & Weijiang Li & Shiqiang Du & Yong Shi & Kun Chen & Banggu Liao & Xiande Li & Hui Xu, 2019. "Scenario-Based Extreme Flood Risk of Residential Buildings and Household Properties in Shanghai," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(11), pages 1-18, June.
    13. Scott A. Kulp & Benjamin H. Strauss, 2019. "Author Correction: New elevation data triple estimates of global vulnerability to sea-level rise and coastal flooding," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 10(1), pages 1-2, December.
    14. Hannah Cooper & Qi Chen & Charles Fletcher & Matthew Barbee, 2013. "Assessing vulnerability due to sea-level rise in Maui, Hawai ‘i using LiDAR remote sensing and GIS," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 116(3), pages 547-563, February.
    15. Rafael Almar & Roshanka Ranasinghe & Erwin W. J. Bergsma & Harold Diaz & Angelique Melet & Fabrice Papa & Michalis Vousdoukas & Panagiotis Athanasiou & Olusegun Dada & Luis Pedro Almeida & Elodie Kest, 2021. "A global analysis of extreme coastal water levels with implications for potential coastal overtopping," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 12(1), pages 1-9, December.
    16. Paul William Kojo Yankson & Alex Barimah Owusu & George Owusu & John Boakye-Danquah & Jacob Doku Tetteh, 2017. "Erratum to: Assessment of coastal communities’ vulnerability to floods using indicator-based approach: a case study of Greater Accra Metropolitan Area, Ghana," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 89(2), pages 691-691, November.
    17. María I. Navarro-Hernández & Javier Valdes-Abellan & Roberto Tomás & Serena Tessitore & Pablo Ezquerro & Gerardo Herrera, 2023. "Analysing the Impact of Land Subsidence on the Flooding Risk: Evaluation Through InSAR and Modelling," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 37(11), pages 4363-4383, September.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Wilmer Rey & Paulo Salles & José Carlos Pintado-Patiño & Mark Stacey & Alec Torres-Freyermuth & Pablo Ruiz-Salcines & Bismarck Jigena-Antelo, 2025. "Assessing the impact of coastal flooding along the northern Yucatan Peninsula associated to sea level rise under different shared socio-economic pathways," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 121(13), pages 15443-15466, July.
    2. Si Ha & Hirokazu Tatano & Nobuhito Mori & Toshio Fujimi & Xinyu Jiang, 2021. "Cost–benefit analysis of adaptation to storm surge due to climate change in Osaka Bay, Japan," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 169(3), pages 1-20, December.
    3. Vladimir J. Alarcon & Anna C. Linhoss & Christopher R. Kelble & Paul F. Mickle & Gonzalo F. Sanchez-Banda & Fernando E. Mardonez-Meza & Joseph Bishop & Steven L. Ashby, 2022. "Coastal inundation under concurrent mean and extreme sea-level rise in Coral Gables, Florida, USA," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 111(3), pages 2933-2962, April.
    4. Ryan Paulik & Scott A. Stephens & Robert G. Bell & Sanjay Wadhwa & Ben Popovich, 2020. "National-Scale Built-Environment Exposure to 100-Year Extreme Sea Levels and Sea-Level Rise," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(4), pages 1-16, February.
    5. Chen, Zhenshan & Towe, Charles & He, Xi, 2025. "Heterogeneous flood zone effects on coastal housing prices - Risk signal and mandatory costs," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
    6. World Bank, 2023. "Somalia Climate Risk Review," World Bank Publications - Reports 40076, The World Bank Group.
    7. Xueyang Liu & Xiaoxing Liu, 2021. "Can Financial Development Curb Carbon Emissions? Empirical Test Based on Spatial Perspective," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(21), pages 1-19, October.
    8. D. J. Rasmussen & Scott Kulp & Robert E. Kopp & Michael Oppenheimer & Benjamin H. Strauss, 2022. "Popular extreme sea level metrics can better communicate impacts," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 170(3), pages 1-17, February.
    9. Julien Boulange & Yukiko Hirabayashi & Masahiro Tanoue & Toshinori Yamada, 2023. "Quantitative evaluation of flood damage methodologies under a portfolio of adaptation scenarios," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 118(3), pages 1855-1879, September.
    10. Hasselwander, Marc & Bigotte, Joao F. & Antunes, Antonio P. & Sigua, Ricardo G., 2022. "Towards sustainable transport in developing countries: Preliminary findings on the demand for mobility-as-a-service (MaaS) in Metro Manila," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 155(C), pages 501-518.
    11. Amar Causevic & Matthew LoCastro & Dharish David & Sujeetha Selvakkumaran & Ã…sa Gren, 2021. "Financing resilience efforts to confront future urban and sea-level rise flooding: Are coastal megacities in Association of Southeast Asian Nations doing enough?," Environment and Planning B, , vol. 48(5), pages 989-1010, June.
    12. Katerina Trepekli & Thomas Balstrøm & Thomas Friborg & Bjarne Fog & Albert N. Allotey & Richard Y. Kofie & Lasse Møller-Jensen, 2022. "UAV-borne, LiDAR-based elevation modelling: a method for improving local-scale urban flood risk assessment," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 113(1), pages 423-451, August.
    13. Chang, Yuyuan & He, Wen & Mi, Lin, 2024. "Climate risk and payout flexibility around the world," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 166(C).
    14. Jingfan Zhang & Shuchai Gan & Pingjian Yang & Jinge Zhou & Xingyun Huang & Han Chen & Hua He & Neil Saintilan & Christian J. Sanders & Faming Wang, 2024. "A global assessment of mangrove soil organic carbon sources and implications for blue carbon credit," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-7, December.
    15. Chineboaba Araba Afful & Aklesso Y. G. Egbendewe, 2025. "Indigenous Coastal Dwellers' Perception of Sea Level Rise and Drivers of Coping Strategies: Evidence From Ghanaian Coastal Regions," Natural Resources Forum, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 49(3), pages 3248-3261, August.
    16. Laura Bakkensen & Quynh Nguyen & Toan Phan & Paul Schuler, 2023. "Charting the Course: How Does Information about Sea Level Rise Affect the Willingness to Migrate?," Working Paper 23-09, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond.
    17. Lomborg, Bjorn, 2020. "Welfare in the 21st century: Increasing development, reducing inequality, the impact of climate change, and the cost of climate policies," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 156(C).
    18. Md. Nawrose Fatemi & Seth Asare Okyere & Stephen Kofi Diko & Michihiro Kita & Motoki Shimoda & Shigeki Matsubara, 2020. "Physical Vulnerability and Local Responses to Flood Damage in Peri-Urban Areas of Dhaka, Bangladesh," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(10), pages 1-23, May.
    19. Mengmeng Cui & Filipa Ferreira & Tze Kwan Fung & José Saldanha Matos, 2021. "Tale of Two Cities: How Nature-Based Solutions Help Create Adaptive and Resilient Urban Water Management Practices in Singapore and Lisbon," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(18), pages 1-22, September.
    20. Simon Merschroth & Alessio Miatto & Steffi Weyand & Hiroki Tanikawa & Liselotte Schebek, 2020. "Lost Material Stock in Buildings due to Sea Level Rise from Global Warming: The Case of Fiji Islands," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(3), pages 1-19, January.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:121:y:2025:i:15:d:10.1007_s11069-025-07476-w. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.