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A local-scale approach to estuarine flood risk management

Author

Listed:
  • Paula Freire

    (National Civil Engineering Laboratory)

  • Alexandre O. Tavares

    (Coimbra University)

  • Luís Sá

    (National Authority for Civil Protection)

  • Anabela Oliveira

    (National Civil Engineering Laboratory)

  • André B. Fortunato

    (National Civil Engineering Laboratory)

  • Pedro P. Santos

    (Coimbra University)

  • Ana Rilo

    (National Civil Engineering Laboratory)

  • João L. Gomes

    (National Civil Engineering Laboratory)

  • João Rogeiro

    (National Civil Engineering Laboratory)

  • Rui Pablo

    (Civil Protection Service of Seixal Municipality)

  • Pedro J. Pinto

    (National Civil Engineering Laboratory)

Abstract

New challenges in flood risk management are raised by climate change and land-use development. These challenges are particularly complex in estuarine and coastal systems, where different hazard sources interact in a dynamic socio-economic context. This paper presents an innovative approach to support flood risk management in estuaries. The approach, developed at a local-scale basis, is applied in the case study of the Tagus estuary (Portugal). The methodology is supported by the regional framing of the study area and integrates hazard, exposed elements, territorial vulnerability and risk assessments considering different climate scenarios. Through the involvement of the various risk management dimensions, the results allow the definition of a new decision-making supporting framework for emergency and land-use planning. At the emergency level, the results include a WebGIS interface providing an early warning system for the locations with highest risk of flooding and the definition of emergency planning guidelines. A set of flood adaptation actions based on land-use and occupation measures are recommended to increase resilience in face of flooding and future sea level rise. The institutional capacity-building is achieved through the availability of information and tools that can effectively support decision-making. Additionally, the outcomes contribute to better understand flood risk in estuaries and to strengthen its prevention, preparedness and response, priorities defined in the Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction 2015–2030.

Suggested Citation

  • Paula Freire & Alexandre O. Tavares & Luís Sá & Anabela Oliveira & André B. Fortunato & Pedro P. Santos & Ana Rilo & João L. Gomes & João Rogeiro & Rui Pablo & Pedro J. Pinto, 2016. "A local-scale approach to estuarine flood risk management," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 84(3), pages 1705-1739, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:84:y:2016:i:3:d:10.1007_s11069-016-2510-y
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-016-2510-y
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Pedro Pinto Santos & Alexandre Oliveira Tavares & Paula Freire & Ana Rilo, 2018. "Estuarine flooding in urban areas: enhancing vulnerability assessment," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 93(1), pages 77-95, September.
    2. André B. Fortunato & Edmund P. Meredith & Marta Rodrigues & Paula Freire & Hendrik Feldmann, 2019. "Near-future changes in storm surges along the Atlantic Iberian coast," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 98(3), pages 1003-1020, September.
    3. Carina L. Lopes & Fátima L. Alves & João M. Dias, 2017. "Flood risk assessment in a coastal lagoon under present and future scenarios: Ria de Aveiro case study," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 89(3), pages 1307-1325, December.
    4. Mehdi Hafezi & Oz Sahin & Rodney A. Stewart & Brendan Mackey, 2018. "Creating a Novel Multi-Layered Integrative Climate Change Adaptation Planning Approach Using a Systematic Literature Review," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(11), pages 1-30, November.

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