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Numerical modeling of a high magnitude debris-flow event occurred in Brazil

Author

Listed:
  • Claudia Vanessa Santos Corrêa

    (São Paulo State University (UNESP))

  • Fábio Augusto Gomes Vieira Reis

    (São Paulo State University (UNESP))

  • Lucília Carmo Giordano

    (São Paulo State University (UNESP))

  • Victor Carvalho Cabral

    (São Paulo State University (UNESP))

  • Vinícius Queiroz Veloso

    (São Paulo State University (UNESP))

  • Fernando Mazo D’Affonseca

    (FMD Geologia Aplicada)

Abstract

Debris flows are rapid downslope, gravity-driven movements of highly viscous, dense and concentrated/hyperconcentrated fluid materials. In Brazil, the most susceptible area to this type of mass movement comprises the oriented foothills of Serra do Mar. Several numerical modeling approaches have been created to measure, identify, predict, and monitor debris-flow processes, for example, RAMMS (Rapid mass movement simulation), a single-phase numerical model that simulates the propagation of debris flow using the Voelmy rheology. In this work, the RAMMS code is applied to model the debris-flow event that occurred in 1967 in Caraguatatuba County (State of Sao Paulo). Induced by heavy rains, this debris-flow event is one of highest magnitude recorded in Brazil, with more than 100 deaths and major socioeconomic and environmental impacts. Studies involving debris-flow modeling are still recent in Brazil, and they are relevant because can be applied to support the delineation of the affected area and the understanding of the dynamics of these phenomena. Thus, back-analysis studies are applied to assist the model setup and the results evaluations. Field observations and the back-analysis studies showed that the debris-flow processes in the Serra do Mar region are strictly granular, which helped the modeling step, and the debris are preferentially deposited in regions with low slopes (

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  • Claudia Vanessa Santos Corrêa & Fábio Augusto Gomes Vieira Reis & Lucília Carmo Giordano & Victor Carvalho Cabral & Vinícius Queiroz Veloso & Fernando Mazo D’Affonseca, 2024. "Numerical modeling of a high magnitude debris-flow event occurred in Brazil," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 120(14), pages 13077-13107, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:120:y:2024:i:14:d:10.1007_s11069-024-06728-5
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-024-06728-5
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Nathan S. Debortoli & Pedro Ivo M. Camarinha & José A. Marengo & Regina R. Rodrigues, 2017. "An index of Brazil’s vulnerability to expected increases in natural flash flooding and landslide disasters in the context of climate change," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 86(2), pages 557-582, March.
    2. Casey Dowling & Paul Santi, 2014. "Debris flows and their toll on human life: a global analysis of debris-flow fatalities from 1950 to 2011," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 71(1), pages 203-227, March.
    3. Dieter Rickenmann, 1999. "Empirical Relationships for Debris Flows," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 19(1), pages 47-77, January.
    4. Balaguer, Laura Pereira & Garcia, Maria da Glória Motta & Reverte, Fernanda Coyado & Ribeiro, Lígia Maria de Almeida Leite, 2023. "To what extent are ecosystem services provided by geodiversity affected by anthropogenic impacts? A quantitative study in Caraguatatuba, Southeast coast of Brazil," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
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    1. Naseem Ahmad & Muhammad Shafique & Mian Luqman Hussain & Israr Ullah, 2025. "Integrated debris flow hazard and risk assessment using UAV data and RAMMS, a case study in northern Pakistan," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 121(2), pages 1463-1487, January.

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