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The 2012 Census of Agriculture: A Capture–Recapture Analysis

Author

Listed:
  • Linda J. Young

    (USDA NASS Research and Development Division)

  • Andrea C. Lamas

    (USDA NASS Research and Development Division)

  • Denise A. Abreu

    (USDA NASS Research and Development Division)

Abstract

The Census of Agriculture is conducted every 5 years, in years ending in 2 and 7. The Census list frame is incomplete, resulting in undercoverage. Not all operations on the list frame respond, and, based on the response, some misclassification occurs. In 2012, a capture–recapture analysis was conducted to adjust for undercoverage, nonresponse, and misclassification. This was the first time capture–recapture methods were used to produce official statistics for an establishment survey. The number of records on the Census Mailing List that were classified as farms was 1,382,099, and the published estimate of the number of farms was 2,109,303, a 34.5% adjustment. The adjustment was greatest for farms with low production levels and for specialty farms, both of which are difficult to identify and add to the list. The methods used are described. Challenges that arose in the implementation process are discussed. Areas for enhancement being targeted for the 2017 Census of Agriculture are highlighted. Supplementary materials accompanying this paper appear online.

Suggested Citation

  • Linda J. Young & Andrea C. Lamas & Denise A. Abreu, 2017. "The 2012 Census of Agriculture: A Capture–Recapture Analysis," Journal of Agricultural, Biological and Environmental Statistics, Springer;The International Biometric Society;American Statistical Association, vol. 22(4), pages 523-539, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:jagbes:v:22:y:2017:i:4:d:10.1007_s13253-017-0303-8
    DOI: 10.1007/s13253-017-0303-8
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Hopper, K. & Shinn, M. & Laska, E. & Meisner, M. & Wanderling, J., 2008. "Estimating numbers of unsheltered homeless people through plant-capture and postcount survey methods," American Journal of Public Health, American Public Health Association, vol. 98(8), pages 1438-1442.
    2. Abreu, Denise A. & McCarthy, Jaki S. & Colburn, Leslie A., 2010. "Impact of the Screening Procedures of the June Area Survey on the Number of Farms Estimates," NASS Research Reports 234374, United States Department of Agriculture, National Agricultural Statistics Service.
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    Cited by:

    1. Linda J. Young & Michael Jacobsen, 2022. "Sample Design and Estimation When Using a Web-Scraped List Frame and Capture-Recapture Methods," Journal of Agricultural, Biological and Environmental Statistics, Springer;The International Biometric Society;American Statistical Association, vol. 27(2), pages 261-279, June.
    2. Luca Sartore & Kelly Toppin & Linda Young & Clifford Spiegelman, 2019. "Developing Integer Calibration Weights for Census of Agriculture," Journal of Agricultural, Biological and Environmental Statistics, Springer;The International Biometric Society;American Statistical Association, vol. 24(1), pages 26-48, March.

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