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A paradox in time-consistency in the mean–variance problem?

Author

Listed:
  • Alain Bensoussan

    (The University of Texas at Dallas
    City University of Hong Kong)

  • Kwok Chuen Wong

    (Dublin City University)

  • Sheung Chi Phillip Yam

    (Chinese University of Hong Kong)

Abstract

We establish new conditions under which a constrained (no short-selling) time-consistent equilibrium strategy, starting at a certain time, will beat the unconstrained counterpart, as measured by the magnitude of their corresponding equilibrium mean–variance value functions. We further show that the pure strategy of solely investing in a risk-free bond can sometimes simultaneously dominate both constrained and unconstrained equilibrium strategies. With numerical experiments, we also illustrate that the constrained strategy can dominate the unconstrained one for most of the commencement dates (even more than 90%) of a prescribed planning horizon. Under a precommitment approach, the value function of an investor increases with the size of the admissible sets of strategies. However, this may fail to be true under the game-theoretic paradigm, as the constraint of time-consistency itself affects the value function differently when short-selling is and is not prohibited.

Suggested Citation

  • Alain Bensoussan & Kwok Chuen Wong & Sheung Chi Phillip Yam, 2019. "A paradox in time-consistency in the mean–variance problem?," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 23(1), pages 173-207, January.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:finsto:v:23:y:2019:i:1:d:10.1007_s00780-018-00381-0
    DOI: 10.1007/s00780-018-00381-0
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Time-consistency; Mean–variance; State-dependent risk-aversion; Equilibrium strategy; Short-selling prohibition;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C72 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Game Theory and Bargaining Theory - - - Noncooperative Games
    • C73 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Game Theory and Bargaining Theory - - - Stochastic and Dynamic Games; Evolutionary Games
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions

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