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Time-consistent stopping under decreasing impatience

Author

Listed:
  • Yu-Jui Huang

    (University of Colorado - Department of Applied Mathematics - University of Colorado [Boulder])

  • Adrien Nguyen-Huu

    (CEE-M - Centre d'Economie de l'Environnement - Montpellier - FRE2010 - INRA - Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique - UM - Université de Montpellier - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - Montpellier SupAgro - Institut national d’études supérieures agronomiques de Montpellier)

Abstract

Under non-exponential discounting, we develop a dynamic theory for stopping problems in continuous time. Our framework covers discount functions that induce decreasing impatience. Due to the inherent time inconsistency, we look for equilibrium stopping policies, formulated as fixed points of an operator. Under appropriate conditions, fixed-point iterations converge to equilibrium stopping policies. This iterative approach corresponds to the hierarchy of strategic reasoning in game theory and provides "agent-specific" results: it assigns one specific equilibrium stopping policy to each agent according to her initial behavior. In particular, it leads to a precise mathematical connection between the naive behavior and the sophisticated one. Our theory is illustrated in a real options model.

Suggested Citation

  • Yu-Jui Huang & Adrien Nguyen-Huu, 2018. "Time-consistent stopping under decreasing impatience," Post-Print hal-01950058, HAL.
  • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-01950058
    DOI: 10.1007/s00780-017-0350-6
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Yu-Jui Huang & Zhou Zhou, 2018. "Strong and Weak Equilibria for Time-Inconsistent Stochastic Control in Continuous Time," Papers 1809.09243, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2019.
    2. Yu-Jui Huang & Zhou Zhou, 2017. "Optimal Equilibria for Time-Inconsistent Stopping Problems in Continuous Time," Papers 1712.07806, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2018.
    3. Yu-Jui Huang & Zhou Zhou, 2017. "The Optimal Equilibrium for Time-Inconsistent Stopping Problems -- the Discrete-Time Case," Papers 1707.04981, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2018.
    4. Yu‐Jui Huang & Adrien Nguyen‐Huu & Xun Yu Zhou, 2020. "General stopping behaviors of naïve and noncommitted sophisticated agents, with application to probability distortion," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 30(1), pages 310-340, January.
    5. Kaufmann, Marc, 2022. "Projection bias in effort choices," Games and Economic Behavior, Elsevier, vol. 135(C), pages 368-393.
    6. Erhan Bayraktar & Zhenhua Wang & Zhou Zhou, 2023. "Equilibria of time‐inconsistent stopping for one‐dimensional diffusion processes," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 33(3), pages 797-841, July.
    7. Soren Christensen & Kristoffer Lindensjo, 2019. "Time-inconsistent stopping, myopic adjustment & equilibrium stability: with a mean-variance application," Papers 1909.11921, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2020.
    8. Yu‐Jui Huang & Zhou Zhou, 2020. "Optimal equilibria for time‐inconsistent stopping problems in continuous time," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 30(3), pages 1103-1134, July.
    9. Erhan Bayraktar & Jingjie Zhang & Zhou Zhou, 2021. "Equilibrium concepts for time‐inconsistent stopping problems in continuous time," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(1), pages 508-530, January.
    10. Yu-Jui Huang & Zhou Zhou, 2021. "A Time-Inconsistent Dynkin Game: from Intra-personal to Inter-personal Equilibria," Papers 2101.00343, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2021.
    11. Yu-Jui Huang & Zhou Zhou, 2022. "A time-inconsistent Dynkin game: from intra-personal to inter-personal equilibria," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 26(2), pages 301-334, April.
    12. Oumar Mbodji & Traian A. Pirvu, 2023. "Portfolio Time Consistency and Utility Weighted Discount Rates," Papers 2402.05113, arXiv.org.
    13. Zhou, Zhou & Jin, Zhuo, 2020. "Optimal equilibrium barrier strategies for time-inconsistent dividend problems in discrete time," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 100-108.
    14. Yu‐Jui Huang & Xiang Yu, 2021. "Optimal stopping under model ambiguity: A time‐consistent equilibrium approach," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(3), pages 979-1012, July.
    15. Xue Dong He & Xun Yu Zhou, 2021. "Who Are I: Time Inconsistency and Intrapersonal Conflict and Reconciliation," Papers 2105.01829, arXiv.org.
    16. Gad, Kamille Sofie Tågholt & Matomäki, Pekka, 2020. "Optimal variance stopping with linear diffusions," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 130(4), pages 2349-2383.
    17. Marcel Nutz & Yuchong Zhang, 2019. "Conditional Optimal Stopping: A Time-Inconsistent Optimization," Papers 1901.05802, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2019.
    18. Yu-Jui Huang & Zhou Zhou, 2021. "Strong and Weak Equilibria for Time-Inconsistent Stochastic Control in Continuous Time," Mathematics of Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 46(2), pages 428-451, May.
    19. Christensen, Sören & Lindensjö, Kristoffer, 2020. "On time-inconsistent stopping problems and mixed strategy stopping times," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 130(5), pages 2886-2917.
    20. Soren Christensen & Kristoffer Lindensjo, 2019. "Moment constrained optimal dividends: precommitment \& consistent planning," Papers 1909.10749, arXiv.org.
    21. Yu-Jui Huang & Adrien Nguyen-Huu & Xun Yu Zhou, 2017. "Stopping Behaviors of Naïve and Non-Committed Sophisticated Agents when They Distort Probability [Comportement d'arrêt des agents naïfs et sophistiqués sous distorsion des probabilités perçues]," Working Papers hal-01586655, HAL.
    22. Shuoqing Deng & Xiang Yu & Jiacheng Zhang, 2023. "On time-consistent equilibrium stopping under aggregation of diverse discount rates," Papers 2302.07470, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2023.
    23. Zongxia Liang & Fengyi Yuan, 2021. "Weak equilibria for time-inconsistent control: with applications to investment-withdrawal decisions," Papers 2105.06607, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2023.
    24. Yu-Jui Huang & Zhenhua Wang, 2020. "Optimal Equilibria for Multi-dimensional Time-inconsistent Stopping Problems," Papers 2006.00754, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2021.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    decreasing impatience; hyperbolic discounting; iterative approach; optimal stopping; subgame-perfect Nash equilibrium; time inconsistency;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C61 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Optimization Techniques; Programming Models; Dynamic Analysis
    • D81 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty
    • D90 - Microeconomics - - Micro-Based Behavioral Economics - - - General
    • G02 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Behavioral Finance: Underlying Principles

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