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Estimating climate change effects on grazing management and beef cattle production in the Pacific Northwest

Author

Listed:
  • J. Shannon Neibergs

    (Washington State University)

  • Tipton D. Hudson

    (Extension, Washington State University)

  • Chad E. Kruger

    (Washington State University)

  • Kaelin Hamel-Rieken

    (Washington State University)

Abstract

Climate change studies consistently conclude that the Pacific Northwest (PNW) will increase in temperature with the greatest change occurring as hotter summer temperatures, precipitation becomes more uncertain with projections for wetter winters and drier summers, a decline in snowpack and an increase in wildfire risk. These impacts on rangeland and pastures affect forage growth and the timing of forage availability for grazing, affecting stocking rates, turn-out dates, and end of grazing gather dates. The magnitude of projected climate change will be dynamic year to year which adds significant challenges to implementing effective grazing management plans. The PNW has about 1.3 million head of beef cows that are the primary grazing resource users. Cow-calf producers’ production costs will increase to offset climate change impacts, but PNW cattle producers have an economic comparative advantage to other regions more negatively impacted by climate change such as the Southwest. The PNW is projected to have lower drought risk and the PNW’s extensive irrigation system can produce feedstuffs to offset drought-reduced grazing resources.

Suggested Citation

  • J. Shannon Neibergs & Tipton D. Hudson & Chad E. Kruger & Kaelin Hamel-Rieken, 2018. "Estimating climate change effects on grazing management and beef cattle production in the Pacific Northwest," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 146(1), pages 5-17, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:climat:v:146:y:2018:i:1:d:10.1007_s10584-017-2014-0
    DOI: 10.1007/s10584-017-2014-0
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Watts, Myles J. & Shimshack, Jay P. & LaFrance, Jeffrey T., 2006. "Grazing Fees versus Stewardship on Federal Lands," CUDARE Working Papers 7151, University of California, Berkeley, Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics.
    2. Matthew Reeves & Adam Moreno & Karen Bagne & Steven Running, 2014. "Estimating climate change effects on net primary production of rangelands in the United States," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 126(3), pages 429-442, October.
    3. Feuz, Dillon M., 2009. "A Comparison of the Effectiveness of Using Futures, Options, LRP Insurance, or AGR-Lite Insurance to Manage Risk for Cow-calf Producers," 2009 Conference, April 20-21, 2009, St. Louis, Missouri 53046, NCCC-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
    4. Russell Tronstad & Russell Gum, 1994. "Cow Culling Decisions Adapted for Management with CART," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 76(2), pages 237-249.
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