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The feedback channels in macroeconomics: analytical foundations for structural econometric model building

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  • Pu Chen
  • Carl Chiarella

    ()

  • Peter Flaschel

    ()

  • Willi Semmler

Abstract

We investigate important macroeconomic and macroeconometric feedback channels in models that concern the dynamic interaction of the labor market, product market and the monetary and financial sector. The core of our study is an applied disequilibrium model of monetary growth of a small open economy. After surveying the feedback channels we consider a compact description of the intensive form of the model. We consider various types of subsystems, the integration of which is subsequently compared from the perspective of bifurcation diagrams that separate cases of asymptotic stability from stable cyclical behavior as well as pure explosiveness. In this way we lay out a research strategy, which will show, in contrast to what is generally believed, that applied integrated macrodynamic systems can have a variety of interesting attractors and transient dynamics, which are obtained in particular when locally explosive situations are turned into bounded dynamics by the addition of specifically tailored extrinsic nonlinearities. Copyright Physica-Verlag 2006

Suggested Citation

  • Pu Chen & Carl Chiarella & Peter Flaschel & Willi Semmler, 2006. "The feedback channels in macroeconomics: analytical foundations for structural econometric model building," Central European Journal of Operations Research, Springer;Slovak Society for Operations Research;Hungarian Operational Research Society;Czech Society for Operations Research;Österr. Gesellschaft für Operations Research (ÖGOR);Slovenian Society Informatika - Section for Operational Research;Croatian Operational Research Society, vol. 14(3), pages 261-288, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:cejnor:v:14:y:2006:i:3:p:261-288
    DOI: 10.1007/s10100-006-0004-9
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Chiarella,Carl & Flaschel,Peter, 2011. "The Dynamics of Keynesian Monetary Growth," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521180184, October.
    2. Barnett William A. & He Yijun, 1999. "Stability Analysis of Continuous-Time Macroeconometric Systems," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 3(4), pages 1-22, January.
    3. Carl Chiarella & Peter Flaschel, 1999. "Towards Applied Disequilibrium Growth Theory: II Intensive Form and Steady State Analysis of the Model," Working Paper Series 94, Finance Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney.
    4. Ronald G. Bodkin & Lawrence R. Klein & Kanta Marwah, 1991. "A History of Macroeconometric Model-Building," Books, Edward Elgar Publishing, number 51, November.
    5. H. Rose, 1967. "On the Non-Linear Theory of the Employment Cycle," Review of Economic Studies, Oxford University Press, vol. 34(2), pages 153-173.
    6. Bergstrom, A. R. & Nowman, K. B. & Wandasiewicz, S., 1994. "Monetary and fiscal policy in a second-order continuous time macroeconometric model of the United Kingdom," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 18(3-4), pages 731-761.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Structural macroeconometric models; Decompositions; Re-integration; Feedback channels; Stability basins; E12; E32;

    JEL classification:

    • E12 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Keynes; Keynesian; Post-Keynesian
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles

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