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Alliances as a Necessary Condition of Multiparty Wars

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  • John A. Vasquez
  • Ashlea Rundlett

Abstract

The scientific study of war has largely ignored necessary conditions for war onset. Conflict scholars have previously identified alliances as a mechanism that brings about the initial expansion of war but have not examined whether it is a prerequisite for large wars. We argue that wars diffuse into multiparty wars only in the presence of alliances. In other words, in the absence of any alliance ties, war would not include more than two parties. We put forth a theoretical rationale for this relationship and conduct a series of tests on both dyadic and multiparty wars between 1816 and 2007. These tests provide support for our hypothesis, suggesting that alliances are a virtual necessary condition for multiparty wars: the larger the war, the more likely alliances are a necessary condition.

Suggested Citation

  • John A. Vasquez & Ashlea Rundlett, 2016. "Alliances as a Necessary Condition of Multiparty Wars," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 60(8), pages 1395-1418, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:jocore:v:60:y:2016:i:8:p:1395-1418
    DOI: 10.1177/0022002715569770
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Brett Ashley Leeds, 2003. "Do Alliances Deter Aggression? The Influence of Military Alliances on the Initiation of Militarized Interstate Disputes," American Journal of Political Science, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 47(3), pages 427-439, July.
    2. repec:ucp:bkecon:9780226702766 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. Ragin, Charles C., 2000. "Fuzzy-Set Social Science," University of Chicago Press Economics Books, University of Chicago Press, edition 1, number 9780226702773, August.
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