IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/sae/eeupol/v26y2025i2p442-450.html

Conclusion – external threat and internal divisions: How the war in Ukraine shapes mass politics in the EU

Author

Listed:
  • Philipp Genschel

Abstract

I review this Special Section in three steps. First, I summarize the theoretical framework, contrasting bellicist and polity-maintenance perspectives on how outside threats such as the war in Ukraine affect the mass politics of EU integration. Second, I report findings about public attitudes and party positions on the war and the EU's reactions to it. The articles show a broad permissive consensus on more policy integration, and a modest ‘Europeanization’ of party-political messaging. Third, I compare findings on four major explanatory variables: threat perceptions, country-level differences, individual identity and political ideology. The articles show a unifying effect of the war on European mass publics. The remaining disunity is mostly within, not between member states. I conclude with some speculative notes on the future of European unity.

Suggested Citation

  • Philipp Genschel, 2025. "Conclusion – external threat and internal divisions: How the war in Ukraine shapes mass politics in the EU," European Union Politics, , vol. 26(2), pages 442-450, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:sae:eeupol:v:26:y:2025:i:2:p:442-450
    DOI: 10.1177/14651165251318963
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/14651165251318963
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1177/14651165251318963?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ioana-Elena Oana & Alexandru D Moise & Zbigniew Truchlewski, 2025. "Demand-side constraints on European solidarity for energy sanctions: Experimental evidence from seven EU countries," European Union Politics, , vol. 26(2), pages 344-368, June.
    2. Timothy Besley & Torsten Persson, 2011. "Pillars of Prosperity: The Political Economics of Development Clusters," Economics Books, Princeton University Press, edition 1, number 9624, December.
    3. Alexandru D. Moise & Chendi Wang, 2025. "Division and unity: Voter and party perspectives on EU integration under external threat," European Union Politics, , vol. 26(2), pages 296-309, June.
    4. Aleksandra Sojka & Javier Terraza & Francisco Caravaca Crespo & à ngel Cuevas Rumín, 2025. "Russian invasion as a European issue: Vertical Europeanisation of national political debates and the war in Ukraine," European Union Politics, , vol. 26(2), pages 310-343, June.
    5. Hooghe, Liesbet & Marks, Gary, 2009. "A Postfunctionalist Theory of European Integration: From Permissive Consensus to Constraining Dissensus," British Journal of Political Science, Cambridge University Press, vol. 39(1), pages 1-23, January.
    6. Alexandru D Moise & Ioana-Elena Oana & Zbigniew Truchlewski & Chendi Wang, 2025. "Two functionalist logics of European Union polity formation under external threat: Evidence from a conjoint experiment," European Union Politics, , vol. 26(2), pages 369-392, June.
    7. Alexandru D Moise & Chendi Wang, 2025. "Appeasement or solidarity? Uncovering the drivers of European public opinion on the EU’s foreign policy," European Union Politics, , vol. 26(2), pages 418-441, June.
    8. Liesbet Hooghe & Gary Marks & Ryan Bakker & Seth Jolly & Jonathan Polk & Jan Rovny & Marco Steenbergen & Milada Anna Vachudova, 2024. "The Russian threat and the consolidation of the West: How populism and EU-skepticism shape party support for Ukraine," European Union Politics, , vol. 25(3), pages 459-482, September.
    9. Chendi Wang & Argyrios Altiparmakis, 2025. "What happened to Putin’s friends? The radical right’s reaction to the Russian invasion on social media," European Union Politics, , vol. 26(2), pages 393-417, June.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Alexandru D. Moise & Chendi Wang, 2025. "Division and unity: Voter and party perspectives on EU integration under external threat," European Union Politics, , vol. 26(2), pages 296-309, June.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Alexandru D. Moise & Chendi Wang, 2025. "Division and unity: Voter and party perspectives on EU integration under external threat," European Union Politics, , vol. 26(2), pages 296-309, June.
    2. Ioana-Elena Oana & Alexandru D Moise & Zbigniew Truchlewski, 2025. "Demand-side constraints on European solidarity for energy sanctions: Experimental evidence from seven EU countries," European Union Politics, , vol. 26(2), pages 344-368, June.
    3. Chendi Wang & Argyrios Altiparmakis, 2025. "What happened to Putin’s friends? The radical right’s reaction to the Russian invasion on social media," European Union Politics, , vol. 26(2), pages 393-417, June.
    4. Alexandru D Moise & Ioana-Elena Oana & Zbigniew Truchlewski & Chendi Wang, 2025. "Two functionalist logics of European Union polity formation under external threat: Evidence from a conjoint experiment," European Union Politics, , vol. 26(2), pages 369-392, June.
    5. Alexandru D Moise & Chendi Wang, 2025. "Appeasement or solidarity? Uncovering the drivers of European public opinion on the EU’s foreign policy," European Union Politics, , vol. 26(2), pages 418-441, June.
    6. Aleksandra Sojka & Javier Terraza & Francisco Caravaca Crespo & à ngel Cuevas Rumín, 2025. "Russian invasion as a European issue: Vertical Europeanisation of national political debates and the war in Ukraine," European Union Politics, , vol. 26(2), pages 310-343, June.
    7. Andrea Capati & Federico Trastulli, 2025. "A quiet convergence: The 2022 full‐scale Russian invasion of Ukraine and Italian Parties' positions on the European Union," Global Policy, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 16(1), pages 28-44, February.
    8. Lisanne de Blok & Max Heermann & Julian Schuessler & Dirk Leuffen & Catherine E. de Vries, 2024. "All on board? The role of institutional design for public support for differentiated integration," European Union Politics, , vol. 25(3), pages 593-604, September.
    9. Julian Aichholzer & Sylvia Kritzinger & Carolina Plescia, 2021. "National identity profiles and support for the European Union," European Union Politics, , vol. 22(2), pages 293-315, June.
    10. Yu Hao & Kevin Zhengcheng Liu, 2020. "Taxation, fiscal capacity, and credible commitment in eighteenth‐century China: the effects of the formalization and centralization of informal surtaxes," Economic History Review, Economic History Society, vol. 73(4), pages 914-939, November.
    11. Mueller, Hannes & Rauh, Christopher, 2018. "Reading Between the Lines: Prediction of Political Violence Using Newspaper Text," American Political Science Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 112(2), pages 358-375, May.
    12. Marco Manacorda & Guido Tabellini & Andrea Tesei, 2022. "Mobile internet and the rise of political tribalism in Europe," CEP Discussion Papers dp1877, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.
    13. Jean-Paul Faguet & Camilo Matajira & Fabio SÔøΩnchez-Torres, 2022. "Constructive extraction? Encomienda, the colonial state, and development in Colombia," Documentos CEDE 20105, Universidad de los Andes, Facultad de Economía, CEDE.
    14. Luuk Middelaar, 2016. "The Return of Politics – The European Union after the crises in the eurozone and Ukraine," Journal of Common Market Studies, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 54(3), pages 495-507, May.
    15. Carlos Álvarez-Nogal & Leandro Prados de la Escosura, 2025. "State Capacity and Subjective Well-Being in Early Modern Spain," Working Papers 0287, European Historical Economics Society (EHES).
    16. Soetkin Verhaegen & Marc Hooghe & Ellen Quintelier, 2014. "European Identity and Support for European Integration: A Matter of Perceived Economic Benefits?," Kyklos, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 67(2), pages 295-314, May.
    17. Wolfram Kaiser, 2017. "Limits of Cultural Engineering: Actors and Narratives in the European Parliament's House of European History Project," Journal of Common Market Studies, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 55(3), pages 518-534, May.
    18. Natascha Zaun & Ariadna Ripoll Servent, 2023. "Perpetuating Crisis as a Supply Strategy: The Role of (Nativist) Populist Governments in EU Policymaking on Refugee Distribution," Journal of Common Market Studies, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 61(3), pages 653-672, May.
    19. Rauh, Christian, 2015. "Communicating supranational governance? The salience of EU affairs in the German Bundestag, 1991–2013," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 16(1), pages 116-138.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:sae:eeupol:v:26:y:2025:i:2:p:442-450. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: SAGE Publications (email available below). General contact details of provider: .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.