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Division and unity: Voter and party perspectives on EU integration under external threat

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  • Alexandru D. Moise
  • Chendi Wang

Abstract

The Russian invasion of Ukraine has reshaped European politics, prompting the European Union (EU) to take indirect actions such as aiding Ukraine, accepting refugees, and imposing sanctions on Russia. This special section explores the implications of these events on European unity. Will the war highlight divisions among countries and ideological groups, as “post-functionalists†would predict? Or will the external threat, in line with the “bellicist logic,†and EU solidarity, in line with the “polity formation†literature, foster increased EU policy coordination and centralization? The contributions assess the war’s impact on the supply (political parties) and demand (public opinion) sides of the politics of European integration. The articles show moderate support for the “bellicist†mechanisms of threat and consensus. They also find solidarity and unity for refugee and energy policy, with greater ideological and country divisions over economic policy, defence policy, and appeasement strategies toward Russia.

Suggested Citation

  • Alexandru D. Moise & Chendi Wang, 2025. "Division and unity: Voter and party perspectives on EU integration under external threat," European Union Politics, , vol. 26(2), pages 296-309, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:sae:eeupol:v:26:y:2025:i:2:p:296-309
    DOI: 10.1177/14651165251318950
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Ioana-Elena Oana & Alexandru D Moise & Zbigniew Truchlewski, 2025. "Demand-side constraints on European solidarity for energy sanctions: Experimental evidence from seven EU countries," European Union Politics, , vol. 26(2), pages 344-368, June.
    2. Anne-Marie Jeannet & Tobias Heidland & Martin Ruhs, 2021. "What asylum and refugee policies do Europeans want? Evidence from a cross-national conjoint experiment," European Union Politics, , vol. 22(3), pages 353-376, September.
    3. Aleksandra Sojka & Javier Terraza & Francisco Caravaca Crespo & à ngel Cuevas Rumín, 2025. "Russian invasion as a European issue: Vertical Europeanisation of national political debates and the war in Ukraine," European Union Politics, , vol. 26(2), pages 310-343, June.
    4. Hooghe, Liesbet & Marks, Gary, 2009. "A Postfunctionalist Theory of European Integration: From Permissive Consensus to Constraining Dissensus," British Journal of Political Science, Cambridge University Press, vol. 39(1), pages 1-23, January.
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    6. Wouter van der Brug & Katjana Gattermann & Claes H. de Vreese, 2022. "Electoral responses to the increased contestation over European integration. The European Elections of 2019 and beyond," European Union Politics, , vol. 23(1), pages 3-20, March.
    7. Ferrera, Maurizio, 2005. "The Boundaries of Welfare: European Integration and the New Spatial Politics of Social Protection," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780199284672.
    8. Nils D. Steiner & Ruxanda Berlinschi & Etienne Farvaque & Jan Fidrmuc & Philipp Harms & Alexander Mihailov & Michael Neugart & Piotr Stanek, 2023. "Rallying around the EU flag: Russia's invasion of Ukraine and attitudes toward European integration," Journal of Common Market Studies, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 61(2), pages 283-301, March.
    9. Alexandru D Moise & Ioana-Elena Oana & Zbigniew Truchlewski & Chendi Wang, 2025. "Two functionalist logics of European Union polity formation under external threat: Evidence from a conjoint experiment," European Union Politics, , vol. 26(2), pages 369-392, June.
    10. Philipp Genschel, 2025. "Conclusion – external threat and internal divisions: How the war in Ukraine shapes mass politics in the EU," European Union Politics, , vol. 26(2), pages 442-450, June.
    11. Cederman, Lars-Erik & Galano Toro, Paola & Girardin, Luc & Schvitz, Guy, 2023. "War Did Make States: Revisiting the Bellicist Paradigm in Early Modern Europe," International Organization, Cambridge University Press, vol. 77(2), pages 324-362, February.
    12. Alexandru D Moise & Chendi Wang, 2025. "Appeasement or solidarity? Uncovering the drivers of European public opinion on the EU’s foreign policy," European Union Politics, , vol. 26(2), pages 418-441, June.
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    1. Philipp Genschel, 2025. "Conclusion – external threat and internal divisions: How the war in Ukraine shapes mass politics in the EU," European Union Politics, , vol. 26(2), pages 442-450, June.

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