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NFL Quarterback Development—The Role of Competing Quarterbacks, Rookie Playing Time, and Team Quality

Author

Listed:
  • Brent A. Evans
  • Colin Adams
  • Joshua D. Pitts
  • Donavan Lingerfelt

Abstract

Using data from 1994 to 2017, we consider characteristics that affect quarterback (QB) development in the National Football League. Our analysis leads to three key findings. Firstly, we show that a young QB’s career is worsened when he plays alongside a Pro Bowl QB. Secondly, we find that QB’s career outcomes are better when they are drafted by a bad team. Finally, we investigate the role of rookie playing time and find evidence that playing as a rookie reduces career outcomes. In all three cases, the effects are largest in the latter portion of a QB’s career.

Suggested Citation

  • Brent A. Evans & Colin Adams & Joshua D. Pitts & Donavan Lingerfelt, 2025. "NFL Quarterback Development—The Role of Competing Quarterbacks, Rookie Playing Time, and Team Quality," The American Economist, Sage Publications, vol. 70(1), pages 146-161, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:amerec:v:70:y:2025:i:1:p:146-161
    DOI: 10.1177/05694345241292611
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