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Monetární přístup k inflaci - střednědobý strukturální model v otevřené ekonomice (příklad České Republiky v letech 1996-2004)
[Monetary approach to inflation: A medium-term structural model in a small open economy (the case of the Czech Republic in 1996-2004)]

Author

Listed:
  • Josef Arlt
  • Jan Kodera
  • Martin Mandel
  • Vladimír Tomšík

Abstract

The paper analyses a relationship between monetary aggregate M2 and inflation in a small open economy. The relationship between monetary expansion and inflation as well as a dynamic of income velocity of money framework in a small open economy are discussed in more details in the paper. Authors have developed a medium-term structural model using for an empirical verification of the relationship between monetary aggregate M2 and price development in tradable and non-tradable goods and services in the Czech Republic in the period 1996-2004. The empirical results of the model indicate that money has a significant impact on the price development of non-tradables. On the other hand, a statistically significant relationship between money and tradables inflation in the case of the Czech small open economy is not found. The conclusions presented in the paper suggest that the monetary aggregate should not be ignored in practical policy-making.

Suggested Citation

  • Josef Arlt & Jan Kodera & Martin Mandel & Vladimír Tomšík, 2006. "Monetární přístup k inflaci - střednědobý strukturální model v otevřené ekonomice (příklad České Republiky v letech 1996-2004)
    [Monetary approach to inflation: A medium-term structural model in a s
    ," Politická ekonomie, University of Economics, Prague, vol. 2006(3).
  • Handle: RePEc:prg:jnlpol:v:2006:y:2006:i:3:id:561
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Fay, Michael P. & Shaw, Pamela A., 2010. "Exact and Asymptotic Weighted Logrank Tests for Interval Censored Data: The interval R Package," Journal of Statistical Software, Foundation for Open Access Statistics.
    2. Alan B. Krueger & Judd Cramer & David Cho, 2014. "Are the Long-Term Unemployed on the Margins of the Labor Market?," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, pages 229-299.
    3. Alan B. Krueger & Judd Cramer & David Cho, 2014. "Are the Long-Term Unemployed on the Margins of the Labor Market?," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 48(1 (Spring), pages 229-299.
    4. Knut Røed & Peter Jensen & Anna Thoursie, 2008. "Unemployment duration and unemployment insurance: a comparative analysis based on Scandinavian micro data," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 60(2), pages 254-274, April.
    5. Hunt, Jennifer, 1995. "The Effect of Unemployment Compensation on Unemployment Duration in Germany," Journal of Labor Economics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 13(1), pages 88-120, January.
    6. Olympia Bover & Manuel Arellano & Samuel Bentolila, 2002. "Unemployment Duration, Benefit Duration and the Business Cycle," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 112(479), pages 223-265, April.
    7. Štěpán Jurajda & Frederick J. Tannery, 2003. "Unemployment Durations and Extended Unemployment Benefits in Local Labor Markets," ILR Review, Cornell University, ILR School, pages 324-348.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    More about this item

    Keywords

    monetary policy; inflation; exchange rate; export; import; medium-term monetary model; VAR analysis;

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics

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