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A look into the future of blockchain technology

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  • Daniel Levis
  • Francesco Fontana
  • Elisa Ughetto

Abstract

In this paper, we use a Delphi approach to investigate whether, and to what extent, blockchain-based applications might affect firms’ organizations, innovations, and strategies by 2030, and, consequently, which societal areas may be mainly affected. We provide a deep understanding of how the adoption of this technology could lead to changes in Europe over multiple dimensions, ranging from business to culture and society, policy and regulation, economy, and technology. From the projections that reached a significant consensus and were given a high probability of occurrence by the experts, we derive four scenarios built around two main dimensions: the digitization of assets and the change in business models.

Suggested Citation

  • Daniel Levis & Francesco Fontana & Elisa Ughetto, 2021. "A look into the future of blockchain technology," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 16(11), pages 1-20, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:plo:pone00:0258995
    DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0258995
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Abdullah Kaid Al-Swidi & Mohammed A Al-Hakimi & Hussam Al Halbusi & Jaithen Abdullah Al Harbi & Hamood Mohammed Al-Hattami, 2024. "Does blockchain technology matter for supply chain resilience in dynamic environments? The role of supply chain integration," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 19(1), pages 1-22, January.
    2. Haifeng Zhao & Nosherwan Khaliq & Chunling Li & Judit Oláh, 2024. "In quest of perceived transaction cost’s impact on fintech users’ intention: the moderating role of situational factors," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 11(1), pages 1-13, December.
    3. Du, Yudai, 2025. "Singapore’s Fintech Revolution: Blockchain-Powered Cross-Border Settlements and AI-Enhanced Trading Ecosystems (2020-2023)," OSF Preprints fhg3z_v1, Center for Open Science.

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