IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/plo/pone00/0118917.html

Interaction between Fiscal and Monetary Policy in a Dynamic Nonlinear Model

Author

Listed:
  • Mario A Bertella
  • Henio A Rego
  • Celso Neris Jr.
  • Jonathas N Silva
  • Boris Podobnik
  • H Eugene Stanley

Abstract

The objective of this study is to verify the dynamics between fiscal policy, measured by public debt, and monetary policy, measured by a reaction function of a central bank. Changes in monetary policies due to deviations from their targets always generate fiscal impacts. We examine two policy reaction functions: the first related to inflation targets and the second related to economic growth targets. We find that the condition for stable equilibrium is more restrictive in the first case than in the second. We then apply our simulation model to Brazil and United Kingdom and find that the equilibrium is unstable in the Brazilian case but stable in the UK case.

Suggested Citation

  • Mario A Bertella & Henio A Rego & Celso Neris Jr. & Jonathas N Silva & Boris Podobnik & H Eugene Stanley, 2015. "Interaction between Fiscal and Monetary Policy in a Dynamic Nonlinear Model," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 10(3), pages 1-21, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:plo:pone00:0118917
    DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0118917
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0118917
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0118917&type=printable
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1371/journal.pone.0118917?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Goncalves, Carlos Eduardo S. & Salles, Joao M., 2008. "Inflation targeting in emerging economies: What do the data say?," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 85(1-2), pages 312-318, February.
    2. Paul Davidson, 1994. "Post Keynesian Macroeconomic Theory," Books, Edward Elgar Publishing, number 124.
    3. Nigel F.B. Allington & John S.L. McCombie & Maureen Pike, 2011. "The failure of the new macroeconomic consensus: from non-ergodicity to the efficient markets hypothesis and back again," International Journal of Public Policy, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 7(1/2/3), pages 4-21.
    4. Malcolm Sawyer, 2011. "UK Fiscal Policy After the Global Financial Crisis," Contributions to Political Economy, Cambridge Political Economy Society, vol. 30(1), pages 13-29.
    5. Laurence M. Ball & Niamh Sheridan, 2004. "Does Inflation Targeting Matter?," NBER Chapters, in: The Inflation-Targeting Debate, pages 249-276, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. Bernanke, Ben & Gertler, Mark, 1989. "Agency Costs, Net Worth, and Business Fluctuations," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 79(1), pages 14-31, March.
    7. Gauti B. Eggertsson & Paul Krugman, 2012. "Debt, Deleveraging, and the Liquidity Trap: A Fisher-Minsky-Koo Approach," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 127(3), pages 1469-1513.
    8. Olivier Blanchard & Giovanni Dell’Ariccia & Paolo Mauro, 2010. "Rethinking Macroeconomic Policy," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 42(s1), pages 199-215, September.
    9. Philip Arestis & Malcolm Sawyer, 2010. "What Monetary Policy after the Crisis?," Review of Political Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(4), pages 499-515.
    10. Lars E. O. Svensson & Michael Woodford, 2004. "Implementing Optimal Policy through Inflation-Forecast Targeting," NBER Chapters, in: The Inflation-Targeting Debate, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    11. Olivier Blanchard & Giovanni Dell'Ariccia & Paolo Mauro, 2010. "Rethinking Macroeconomic Policy," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 42(s1), pages 199-215, September.
    12. Dirk Bezemer, 2011. "The Credit Crisis and Recession as a Paradigm Test," Journal of Economic Issues, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 45(1), pages 1-18.
    13. Kydland, Finn E & Prescott, Edward C, 1977. "Rules Rather Than Discretion: The Inconsistency of Optimal Plans," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 85(3), pages 473-491, June.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Lisa Kustina & Junedi, 2017. "ASEAN Economic Community Impact on SMSs: A Regional Case Study," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(4B), pages 432-438.
    2. V.A. Slepov & V.K. Burlachkov & T.P. Danko & M.E. Kosov & I.I. Volkov & N.V. Ivolgina & V.D. Sekerin, 2017. "Model for Integrating Monetary and Fiscal Policies to Stimulate Economic Growth and Sustainable Debt Dynamics," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(4A), pages 457-470.
    3. Carlos Eduardo Iwai Drumond & Cleiton Silva Jesus & João Basilio Pereima & Hiroyuki Yoshida, 2022. "Alternative monetary policy rules and expectational consistency," Evolutionary and Institutional Economics Review, Springer, vol. 19(1), pages 319-341, April.
    4. Alan Karaev K. & А. Караев К., 2017. "Нелинейная динамическая модель взаимодействия фискальной и монетарной политик России // A Nonlinear Dynamic Model of the Russian Fiscal and Monetary Policy Interaction," Экономика. Налоги. Право // Economics, taxes & law, ФГОБУ "Финансовый университет при Правительстве Российской Федерации" // Financial University under The Government of Russian Federation, vol. 10(3), pages 43-51.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Hayat, Zafar & Balli, Faruk & Rehman, Muhammad, 2018. "Does inflation bias stabilize real growth? Evidence from Pakistan," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 40(6), pages 1083-1103.
    2. Fouda Owoundi, Jean-Pierre & Mbassi, Christophe Martial & Owoundi, Ferdinand, 2021. "Does inflation targeting weaken financial stability? Assessing the role of institutional quality," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 374-398.
    3. de Carvalho Filho Irineu E, 2011. "28 Months Later: How Inflation Targeters Outperformed Their Peers in the Great Recession," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 11(1), pages 1-46, July.
    4. Alan Karaev K. & А. Караев К., 2017. "Нелинейная динамическая модель взаимодействия фискальной и монетарной политик России // A Nonlinear Dynamic Model of the Russian Fiscal and Monetary Policy Interaction," Экономика. Налоги. Право // Economics, taxes & law, ФГОБУ "Финансовый университет при Правительстве Российской Федерации" // Financial University under The Government of Russian Federation, vol. 10(3), pages 43-51.
    5. Wieland, Volker & Binder, Michael & Lieberknecht, Philipp & Quintana, Jorge, 2017. "Model Uncertainty in Macroeconomics: On the Implications of Financial Frictions," CEPR Discussion Papers 12013, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    6. repec:spo:wpmain:info:hdl:2441/vbu6kd1s68o6r34k5bcm3iopv is not listed on IDEAS
    7. Gagnon, Marie-Hélène & Gimet, Céline, 2013. "The impacts of standard monetary and budgetary policies on liquidity and financial markets: International evidence from the credit freeze crisis," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(11), pages 4599-4614.
    8. Piotr Ciżkowicz & Andrzej Rzońca & Andrzej Torój, 2019. "In Search of an Appropriate Lower Bound. The Zero Lower Bound vs. the Positive Lower Bound under Discretion and Commitment," German Economic Review, Verein für Socialpolitik, vol. 20(4), pages 1028-1053, November.
    9. Issing Otmar & Wieland Volker, 2013. "Monetary Theory and Monetary Policy: Reflections on the Development over the last 150 Years," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 233(3), pages 423-445, June.
    10. Thomas I. Palley, 2016. "Zero Lower Bound (ZLB) Economics," IMK Working Paper 164-2016, IMK at the Hans Boeckler Foundation, Macroeconomic Policy Institute.
    11. Dosi, Giovanni & Fagiolo, Giorgio & Napoletano, Mauro & Roventini, Andrea & Treibich, Tania, 2015. "Fiscal and monetary policies in complex evolving economies," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 166-189.
    12. Zhandos Ybrayev, 2017. "The Prospect Of Inflation Targeting In Kazakhstan," Eurasian Journal of Economics and Finance, Eurasian Publications, vol. 5(1), pages 33-48.
    13. Inayat U. Mangla & Kalim Hyder, 2017. "Global Uncertainty and Monetary Policy Effectiveness in Pakistan," Lahore Journal of Economics, Department of Economics, The Lahore School of Economics, vol. 22(Special E), pages 111-134, September.
    14. Steven Ambler, 2016. "Toward the Next Renewal of the Inflation-Control Agreement: Questions Facing the Bank of Canada," C.D. Howe Institute Commentary, C.D. Howe Institute, issue 453, July.
    15. Tamim Bayoumi & Giovanni Dell'Ariccia & Karl F Habermeier & Tommaso Mancini Griffoli & Fabian Valencia, 2014. "Monetary Policy in the New Normal," IMF Staff Discussion Notes 14/3, International Monetary Fund.
    16. repec:spo:wpecon:info:hdl:2441/f6h8764enu2lskk9p6go0e900 is not listed on IDEAS
    17. Dell'Ariccia, Giovanni & Laeven, Luc & Marquez, Robert, 2010. "Monetary Policy, Leverage, and Bank Risk-Taking," Working Papers 11-05, University of Pennsylvania, Wharton School, Weiss Center.
    18. Abdelkader Aguir, 2018. "Central Bank Credibility, Independence, and Monetary Policy," Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice, Central bank of Montenegro, vol. 7(3), pages 91-110.
    19. Atsuyoshi Morozumi & Michael Bleaney & Zakari Mumuni, 2020. "Inflation targeting in low‐income countries: Does IT work?," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 24(4), pages 1529-1550, November.
    20. Górajski, Mariusz & Kuchta, Zbigniew, 2024. "Are two financial frictions necessary to match U.S. business and financial cycles?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
    21. David Arseneau, 2012. "Expectation traps in a new Keynesian open economy model," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 49(1), pages 81-112, January.
    22. Martin Larch & Paul van den Noord & Lars Jonung, 2010. "The Stability and Growth Pact: Lessons from the Great Recession," European Economy - Economic Papers 2008 - 2015 429, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:plo:pone00:0118917. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: plosone (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://journals.plos.org/plosone/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.